Mithrandir Metrics
Player St. Louis Cardinals Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals

Leo Bernal

C · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 0", 245 lb · Age 22

Cards
4
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club St. Louis Cardinals Position C Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202694112640.292.330.461.791
1 Seasons94112640.292.330.461.791
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
90
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
76
Defense5 metrics
64
Speed1 metrics
21
Plate skills10 metrics
38
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.247
xwOBA current pace0.344
xwOBA rolling p500.276
Observed weight30%
xwOBA
0.223 0.248 0.276 0.304 0.329
wOBA
0.298 0.328 0.361 0.395 0.425
ISO
0.077 0.110 0.146 0.182 0.215
K%
13.3% 17.6% 22.3% 27.1% 31.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.4%
74 +22 vs proj
Exit velocity92.6
96
Hard-hit%56.7%
99 +55 vs proj
xBA0.371
94
xSLG0.641
88
xwOBA0.344
89 +37 vs proj
BB%5.3%
17 -33 vs proj
Bat speed72.2
82
K%23.4%
48
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.4 · C
69
Catcher Throwing1.0 · C
72
Framing Runs1.3 · C
67
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · C
25
Pop Time1.9 · C
85
Range Runs-0.5 · C
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.2 · C
21
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.3% · rebadged research
39
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.7% · rebadged research
66
Correct Decisions65.4% · rebadged research
43
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · borderline
32
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
14
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
54
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.344 · insufficient sample
15
Resists FastballwOBA 0.365 · validated
13
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
55
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
47
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

10 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Bernal, Leo · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.344 2026-09-14: 0.3712026-09-18: 0.3782026-09-19: 0.3852026-09-20: 0.3852026-09-21: 0.3792026-09-22: 0.3792026-09-23: 0.3662026-09-24: 0.3552026-09-25: 0.3552026-09-26: 0.344 2026-09-14 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

51 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Bernal, Leo · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 6% of plotted batted ballsPull 6%Center field third: 73% of plotted batted ballsCenter 73%Right field third: 22% of plotted batted ballsOppo 22% LF 336 CF 400 RF 335 2026-09-01 · field out · EP · fly_ball · EV 82.7 / LA 27.02026-09-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA -9.02026-09-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 107.6 / LA 14.02026-09-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 33.02026-09-02 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.0 / LA 37.02026-09-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 36.02026-09-02 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 84.1 / LA -48.02026-09-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 8.02026-09-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.7 / LA 11.02026-09-03 · double play · CH · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 9.02026-09-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.1 / LA 41.02026-09-04 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 109.8 / LA 0.02026-09-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA -20.02026-09-05 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 81.8 / LA 15.02026-09-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 51.02026-09-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 21.02026-09-06 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 15.02026-09-06 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 71.2 / LA 49.02026-09-06 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.1 / LA -21.02026-09-07 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 69.7 / LA 45.02026-09-07 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -13.02026-09-07 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 8.02026-09-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA -15.02026-09-08 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.0 / LA -35.02026-09-08 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 37.02026-09-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.7 / LA 27.02026-09-09 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 24.02026-09-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 44.02026-09-09 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.6 / LA -5.02026-09-11 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 95.7 / LA 11.02026-09-11 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 8.02026-09-11 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 78.4 / LA 9.02026-09-11 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 102.6 / LA 16.02026-09-12 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA -14.02026-09-12 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 23.02026-09-12 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 21.02026-09-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 43.02026-09-13 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 34.02026-09-18 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 1.02026-09-18 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 77.3 / LA 16.02026-09-18 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 75.3 / LA 25.02026-09-20 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 108.5 / LA 26.02026-09-20 · field error · CU · ground_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 7.02026-09-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 44.02026-09-23 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 84.1 / LA 8.02026-09-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.7 / LA -41.02026-09-23 · field out · CH · popup · EV 61.8 / LA 75.02026-09-25 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 94.9 / LA 8.02026-09-25 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 16.02026-09-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 96.8 / LA 7.02026-09-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 66.6 / LA -6.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Bernal, Leo · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 31%31%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 57%57% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age22
Height6' 0"
Weight245 lb
Debut2026-09-01
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.040
wOBA Δ+0.057
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Fielding42026-09-195 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -1.142
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.304 xwOBA | 7 HRProjection
2026-03-23 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K