Mithrandir Metrics
Player Los Angeles Angels Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson

P · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 6", 215 lb · Age 24

Cards
18
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Los Angeles Angels Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025117.36140114.2161.98
2026594.932118095.0761.35
2 Seasons6105.2535181109.2921.43
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
35
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
38
Arsenal4 metrics
46
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason4.35
ERA current pace4.88
ERA rolling p504.69
Observed weight65%
ERA
2.95 3.78 4.69 5.61 6.43
FIP
3.86 4.23 4.65 5.06 5.43
K%
17.3% 18.7% 20.2% 21.8% 23.1%
BB%
6.8% 7.6% 8.5% 9.4% 10.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.35
47
ERA4.88
29
BB%9.4%
45 -16 vs proj
K%18.9%
29 -17 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.337
25 -37 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.6%
19 -15 vs proj
Fastball velo92.6
21
Hard-hit allowed35.7%
71
Whiff%22.8%
52
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Cutter Stuff+104
75
Mithrandir Stuff+102
47
Slider Stuff+101
46
Sinker Stuff+97
18
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Johnson, Ryan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.337 2026-09-12: 0.3472026-09-13: 0.3472026-09-14: 0.3472026-09-18: 0.3432026-09-19: 0.3432026-09-20: 0.3432026-09-21: 0.3372026-09-22: 0.3372026-09-23: 0.3372026-09-24: 0.3372026-09-25: 0.3372026-09-26: 0.337 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 38%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Johnson, Ryan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 50%50%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Johnson, Ryan · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 37.8%Sweeper: 22.9%Split-Finger: 20.9%Sinker: 18.0%Slider: 0.2%4-Seam Fastball: 0.2% FC38% · 90 mphprimary pitch FC 38%ST 23%FS 21%SI 18%SL 0%FF 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Johnson, Ryan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Cutter: 38% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 89.8 mphFC90 mphSweeper: 23% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 80.7 mphST81 mphSplit-Finger: 21% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 84.6 mphFS85 mphSinker: 18% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 92.5 mphSI93 mphSlider: 0% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 84.3 mphSL84 mph4-Seam Fastball: 0% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 94.5 mphFF94 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 53.1% 416 104 qualified
SL 31.3% 245 101 qualified
SI 15.6% 122 97 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height6' 6"
Weight215 lb
Debut2025-03-27
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.51
K% Δ-0.028

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.0σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.363
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.337

Johnson’s wOBA-against sits at 0.363, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.337 — a gap of 0.026, 1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 103 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching182026-09-20Cutter played up through FC/ST tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.8% K | 4.37 ERAProjection
2026-03-30 @ CHC6 ER / 2 K3.1 IP