Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / TEX
Alejandro Osuna
Player · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 9", 185 lb · Age 23
Club TEX
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 176 | 12 | 32 | 2 | 5 | .212 | .313 | .278 | .591 |
| 2026 | 228 | 26 | 51 | 1 | 5 | .256 | .348 | .296 | .644 |
| 2 Seasons | 404 | 38 | 83 | 3 | 10 | .237 | .333 | .289 | .622 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
23
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.315 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.300 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.307 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
xwOBA
0.276
0.291
0.307
0.324
0.339
wOBA
0.303
0.321
0.341
0.362
0.380
ISO
0.061
0.075
0.092
0.108
0.122
K%
14.0%
15.7%
17.6%
19.5%
21.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.8%
2
-48 vs proj
Exit velocity86.1
31
Hard-hit%30.3%
18
-28 vs proj
xBA0.305
34
xSLG0.373
7
xwOBA0.300
48
-32 vs proj
BB%7.8%
41
-30 vs proj
Bat speed69.8
51
K%14.7%
90
+23 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.8 · LF
6
Arm Strength88.4 · LF
12
Outs Above Avg-6.0 · LF
3
Range Runs-6.1 · LF
10
Baserunning · percentile strip
SB Success Rate60.0% · LF
12
Sprint Speed28.5 · LF
80
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.4% · rebadged research
45
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.1% · rebadged research
40
Correct Decisions65.8% · rebadged research
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.280 · borderline
71
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
32
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.293 · validated thin sample
22
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
41
Resists FastballwOBA 0.314 · validated
88
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
21
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
40
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
100 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.032 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.009 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Osuna’s wOBA sits at 0.341, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.300 — a gap of 0.041, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 245 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 3 | 2026-09-20 | 7 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +5.701 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.332 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |