Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 23 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 173 lb |
| Debut | 2026-06-01 |
Player profile / Louisville Bats
Edwin Arroyo
2B · Bats/Throws S/R · 5' 11", 173 lb · Age 23
Club Louisville Bats
Position 2B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Out / inactive
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 160 | 14 | 33 | 0 | 1 | .223 | .266 | .264 | .530 |
| 1 Seasons | 160 | 14 | 33 | 0 | 1 | .223 | .266 | .264 | .530 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
36
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.262 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.291 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.274 |
| Observed weight | 42% |
xwOBA
0.202
0.236
0.274
0.312
0.347
wOBA
0.221
0.242
0.266
0.289
0.310
ISO
0.011
0.038
0.067
0.097
0.124
K%
15.7%
19.8%
24.3%
28.8%
32.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.9%
10
-19 vs proj
Exit velocity86.0
30
Hard-hit%28.2%
12
-27 vs proj
xBA0.363
90
xSLG0.471
40
xwOBA0.291
35
BB%3.7%
7
-26 vs proj
Bat speed66.5
17
K%24.7%
39
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength91.4 · 2B
79
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 2B
85
Range Runs1.9 · 2B
75
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · 2B
11
Sprint Speed28.8 · 2B
86
SB Success Rate50.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 53.8% · rebadged research
8
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.1% · rebadged research
86
Correct Decisions62.0% · rebadged research
16
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · borderline
53
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
48
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.309 · validated thin sample
8
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.305 · insufficient sample
89
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
39
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
66
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
19
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
32 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.004 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.021 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Arroyo’s wOBA sits at 0.266, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.291 — a gap of 0.025, 0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 162 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 6 | 2026-09-02 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.394 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.287 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-03-18 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 K |