Mithrandir Metrics
Player Washington Nationals Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Washington Nationals

Brad Lord

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Washington Nationals Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.97
ERA current pace2.83
ERA rolling p503.49
Observed weight42%
ERA
2.43 2.93 3.49 4.05 4.55
FIP
3.19 3.53 3.91 4.29 4.63
K%
17.7% 19.1% 20.8% 22.5% 23.9%
BB%
4.8% 5.6% 6.5% 7.3% 8.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%5.1%
94 +24 vs proj
Barrel allowed4.9%
84 +34 vs proj
Fastball velo94.5
53
Hard-hit allowed41.5%
37
K%21.1%
41
Whiff%20.9%
32
xwOBA allowed0.299
64 +29 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+106
83
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Lord, Brad · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.3022026-05-19: 0.3032026-05-21: 0.3092026-05-23: 0.3092026-05-24: 0.3022026-05-25: 0.3022026-05-26: 0.3022026-05-28: 0.3022026-05-29: 0.3022026-05-30: 0.3022026-05-31: 0.3022026-06-01: 0.299 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 37%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Lord, Brad · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Lord, Brad · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 36.8%Slider: 22.7%Sinker: 22.4%Sweeper: 11.6%Changeup: 6.4% MIX FF 37%SL 23%SI 22%ST 12%CH 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Lord, Brad · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.3, IVB 1.7FFSL: HB 0.0, IVB 3.2SLSI: HB 1.0, IVB 2.3SIST: HB -0.2, IVB 3.3STCH: HB -1.1, IVB 2.9CH horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 36.5% 215 106 qualified
SL 35.1% 207 102 qualified
SI 22.1% 130 109 limited sample
CH 6.3% 37 98 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lb
Debut2025-03-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.57
K% Δ+0.018

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching22026-03-014-Seam Fastball played up through SL/SI tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202619.4% K | 4.40 ERAProjection
2026-04-20 vs ATL1 ER / 1 K2.2 IP
2026-04-15 @ PIT0 ER / 2 K3.0 IP
2026-04-13 @ PIT3 ER / 1 K0.2 IP
2026-04-11 @ MIL0 ER / 3 K1.2 IP
2026-04-08 vs STL1 ER / 2 K3.0 IP