Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2025-07-11 |
Player profile / Houston Astros
Brice Matthews
CF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 190 lb · Age 24
Club Houston Astros
Position CF
Roster Current MLB team
Status IL-10
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | .167 | .222 | .452 | .674 |
| 2026 | 233 | 23 | 43 | 7 | 4 | .201 | .255 | .332 | .587 |
| 2 Seasons | 280 | 29 | 50 | 11 | 5 | .195 | .250 | .352 | .602 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
34
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.278 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.261 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.269 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
xwOBA
0.228
0.248
0.269
0.290
0.310
wOBA
0.274
0.292
0.312
0.332
0.349
ISO
0.105
0.127
0.150
0.174
0.195
K%
23.5%
26.5%
29.9%
33.3%
36.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.2%
56
-20 vs proj
Exit velocity83.6
10
Hard-hit%36.5%
41
xBA0.296
24
xSLG0.518
56
xwOBA0.261
14
-30 vs proj
BB%8.5%
51
+28 vs proj
Bat speed68.9
39
K%31.0%
14
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.5 · CF
67
Arm Strength93.8 · CF
53
Outs Above Avg2.0 · CF
88
Range Runs5.0 · CF
85
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · CF
11
SB Success Rate50.0% · CF
4
Sprint Speed28.6 · CF
82
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.5% · rebadged research
83
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.9% · rebadged research
74
Correct Decisions71.2% · rebadged research
91
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.264 · borderline
91
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
86
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.254 · validated thin sample
94
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.314 · insufficient sample
79
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347 · validated
33
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
44
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
88
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
112 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.036 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.015 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Matthews’s wOBA sits at 0.312, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.261 — a gap of 0.051, -1.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 248 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.297 xwOBA | 9 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-20 @ CLE0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | K |