Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 230 lb |
| Debut | 2026-07-12 |
Player profile / Washington Nationals
Abimelec Ortiz
1B · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 10", 230 lb · Age 24
Club Washington Nationals
Position 1B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 136 | 16 | 24 | 5 | 0 | .188 | .228 | .344 | .572 |
| 1 Seasons | 136 | 16 | 24 | 5 | 0 | .188 | .228 | .344 | .572 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
49
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.252 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.276 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.261 |
| Observed weight | 38% |
xwOBA
0.207
0.233
0.261
0.290
0.315
wOBA
0.220
0.243
0.269
0.295
0.318
ISO
0.080
0.106
0.134
0.163
0.188
K%
16.8%
20.9%
25.4%
29.9%
34.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.2%
56
Exit velocity89.7
74
Hard-hit%38.0%
49
xBA0.298
27
xSLG0.542
64
xwOBA0.276
24
-28 vs proj
BB%5.2%
16
-34 vs proj
Bat speed73.8
93
K%25.9%
33
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B
47
Range Runs-0.5 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.4 · 1B
9
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.1% · rebadged research
15
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.7% · rebadged research
66
Correct Decisions61.6% · rebadged research
13
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.275 · borderline
79
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.260 · insufficient sample
92
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
45
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.292 · insufficient sample
97
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
42
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
72
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
25
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
68 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.027 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.035 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Ortiz’s wOBA sits at 0.269, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.276 — a gap of 0.007, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 135 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-08-13 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 15 | 2026-09-21 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.338 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.304 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 |