Reference layer
Current snapshot
| MLB bio context is unavailable. |
Player profile / AZ
Tommy Troy
Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 197 lb · Age 24
Club AZ
Position --
Roster profile
Status Out / inactive
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 143 | 23 | 28 | 4 | 1 | .217 | .289 | .349 | .638 |
| 1 Seasons | 143 | 23 | 28 | 4 | 1 | .217 | .289 | .349 | .638 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
42
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.245 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.304 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.268 |
| Observed weight | 40% |
xwOBA
0.221
0.244
0.268
0.293
0.315
wOBA
0.250
0.273
0.299
0.325
0.348
ISO
0.083
0.104
0.128
0.151
0.173
K%
16.2%
20.3%
24.8%
29.3%
33.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.2%
71
+28 vs proj
Exit velocity83.3
9
Hard-hit%30.2%
17
-34 vs proj
xBA0.311
41
xSLG0.534
60
xwOBA0.304
53
BB%9.0%
57
+27 vs proj
Bat speed67.2
22
K%23.6%
47
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.6 · LF
70
Arm Strength87.0 · LF
6
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
25
Range Runs0.3 · LF
50
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts30.0 · LF
81
Sprint Speed30.1 · LF
99
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.7% · rebadged research
66
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.2% · rebadged research
39
Correct Decisions67.4% · rebadged research
63
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
69
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
47
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
28
Resists FastballwOBA 0.394 · validated
4
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
50
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
45 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.004 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.002 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Troy’s wOBA sits at 0.299, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.304 — a gap of 0.006, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 144 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 2 | 2026-09-07 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.614 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.301 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |