Mithrandir Metrics
Player Minnesota Twins Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Minnesota Twins

Mick Abel

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 5", 190 lb · Age 25

Cards
8
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Minnesota Twins Position P Roster Current MLB team Status IL-60
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025346.23108039.0391.51
2026123.9843020.1231.57
2 Seasons465.461411059.1621.53
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
42
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
57
Arsenal6 metrics
67
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason3.97
ERA current pace3.98
ERA rolling p503.98
Observed weight35%
ERA
2.61 3.26 3.98 4.70 5.34
FIP
2.63 3.09 3.61 4.13 4.60
K%
19.9% 22.2% 24.7% 27.3% 29.5%
BB%
6.7% 7.8% 9.0% 10.2% 11.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.43
32
ERA3.98
53
BB%10.2%
34 -16 vs proj
K%25.8%
75 +23 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.349
15 -27 vs proj
Barrel allowed3.8%
95 +58 vs proj
Fastball velo95.1
61
Hard-hit allowed35.4%
74
Whiff%26.4%
79
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Changeup Stuff+110
96
Curveball Stuff+104
79
Fastball Stuff+107
85
Mithrandir Stuff+105
81
Sinker Stuff+98
24
Slider Stuff+100
37
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Abel, Mick · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.349 2026-09-13: 0.3492026-09-14: 0.3492026-09-18: 0.3492026-09-19: 0.3492026-09-20: 0.3492026-09-21: 0.3492026-09-22: 0.3492026-09-23: 0.3492026-09-24: 0.3492026-09-25: 0.3492026-09-26: 0.3492026-09-27: 0.349 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 42%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Abel, Mick · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 40%40%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 61%61%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Abel, Mick · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 42.5%Changeup: 15.9%Slider: 14.2%Curveball: 13.0%Sweeper: 8.5%Sinker: 6.0% FF42% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 42%CH 16%SL 14%CU 13%ST 8%SI 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Abel, Mick · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 42% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 95.2 mphFF95 mphChangeup: 16% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 87.5 mphCH88 mphSlider: 14% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 87.4 mphSL87 mphCurveball: 13% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 51″ drop, 80.8 mphCU81 mphSweeper: 8% usage, 14″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 83.4 mphST83 mphSinker: 6% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 94.4 mphSI94 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 42.9% 153 107 limited sample
SL 24.1% 86 100 limited sample
CH 17.6% 63 110 limited sample
CB 12.0% 43 104 limited sample
SI 3.4% 12 98 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height6' 5"
Weight190 lb
Debut2025-05-18
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.06
K% Δ+0.033
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching82026-04-144-Seam Fastball played up through CH/CU tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.5% K | 4.04 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 vs BOS0 ER / 10 K7.0 IP
2026-04-09 vs DET0 ER / 6 K6.0 IP
2026-04-04 vs TB4 ER / 3 K4.0 IP
2026-03-29 @ BAL5 ER / 4 K3.1 IP