Mithrandir Metrics
Player HOU Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / HOU

Bryan King

Player · Bats/Throws R/L · 6' 1", 205 lb · Age 29

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club HOU Position -- Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024102.39280026.1321.14
2025542.78680268.0691.04
2026365.19601660.2511.52
3 Seasons9103.6615618155.01521.25
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
37
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
40
Arsenal4 metrics
32
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason3.78
ERA current pace5.28
ERA rolling p504.59
Observed weight54%
ERA
3.23 3.87 4.59 5.30 5.94
FIP
3.53 3.86 4.22 4.59 4.92
K%
17.1% 18.6% 20.4% 22.1% 23.7%
BB%
5.5% 6.5% 7.6% 8.7% 9.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.46
28
ERA5.28
21
BB%8.2%
59 -28 vs proj
K%18.1%
22 -44 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.308
56
Barrel allowed5.1%
85 +29 vs proj
Fastball velo91.9
15
Hard-hit allowed36.4%
66
Whiff%16.5%
6 -33 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Fastball Stuff+99
27
Mithrandir Stuff+100
31
Sinker Stuff+100
35
Slider Stuff+100
36
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed King, Bryan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.308 2026-09-13: 0.3162026-09-14: 0.3162026-09-18: 0.3122026-09-19: 0.3122026-09-20: 0.3122026-09-21: 0.3132026-09-22: 0.3132026-09-23: 0.3132026-09-24: 0.3132026-09-25: 0.3132026-09-26: 0.3082026-09-27: 0.308 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 55%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile King, Bryan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 17%17%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal King, Bryan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 55.5%Sweeper: 26.8%Sinker: 16.7%Changeup: 0.9%Curveball: 0.1% FF55% · 92 mphprimary pitch FF 55%ST 27%SI 17%CH 1%CU 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal King, Bryan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 55% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 92.0 mphFF92 mphSweeper: 27% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 81.3 mphST81 mphSinker: 17% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 91.6 mphSI92 mphChangeup: 1% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 86.4 mphCH86 mphCurveball: 0% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 52″ drop, 79.3 mphCU79 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 55.0% 343 99 qualified
SL 26.9% 168 100 limited sample
SI 17.0% 106 100 limited sample
CH 1.1% 7 101 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+1.64
K% Δ-0.060

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

2.1σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.372
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.308

King’s wOBA-against sits at 0.372, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.308 — a gap of 0.064, 2.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 62 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching12026-08-12Stuff and strike quality carried the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202624.1% K | 3.64 ERAProjection