Reference layer
Current snapshot
| MLB bio context is unavailable. |
Player profile / SD
Jase Bowen
Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 215 lb · Age 26
Club SD
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 99 | 14 | 14 | 2 | 6 | .151 | .194 | .258 | .452 |
| 1 Seasons | 99 | 14 | 14 | 2 | 6 | .151 | .194 | .258 | .452 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
49
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.265 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.248 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.259 |
| Observed weight | 34% |
xwOBA
0.190
0.223
0.259
0.296
0.329
wOBA
0.204
0.229
0.257
0.285
0.310
ISO
0.064
0.090
0.120
0.149
0.175
K%
19.1%
23.4%
28.2%
32.9%
37.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.2%
71
+34 vs proj
Exit velocity84.5
16
Hard-hit%38.7%
52
+16 vs proj
xBA0.342
77
xSLG0.568
72
xwOBA0.248
9
-26 vs proj
BB%2.7%
3
-32 vs proj
Bat speed67.5
25
K%39.3%
1
-27 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.4 · LF
82
Arm Strength94.0 · LF
54
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Range Runs0.4 · LF
52
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts10.0 · RF
62
Sprint Speed29.6 · RF
96
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.1% · rebadged research
19
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.6% · rebadged research
21
Correct Decisions61.8% · rebadged research
14
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline
44
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
71
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
43
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
26
Resists FastballwOBA 0.326 · validated
73
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.335 · validated
88
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline91
13
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
33 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.041 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.032 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Bowen’s wOBA sits at 0.257, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.248 — a gap of 0.009, -0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 112 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 7 | 2026-09-06 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.531 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.290 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |