Mithrandir Metrics
Player Baltimore Orioles Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles

Brandon Young

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 6", 230 lb · Age 27

Cards
11
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Baltimore Orioles Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025176.241212057.2471.54
2026723.421515084.1671.35
2 Seasons894.5627270142.01141.43
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
45
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
45
Arsenal5 metrics
56
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
ERA preseason4.48
ERA current pace3.42
ERA rolling p503.84
Observed weight60%
ERA
2.66 3.22 3.84 4.46 5.02
FIP
3.49 3.88 4.31 4.74 5.13
K%
16.2% 17.4% 18.7% 20.1% 21.3%
BB%
6.9% 7.6% 8.3% 9.1% 9.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.37
41
ERA3.42
67
BB%8.5%
52
K%18.4%
22 -17 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.319
44
Barrel allowed6.2%
73 +35 vs proj
Fastball velo94.1
45
Hard-hit allowed43.1%
24
Whiff%21.1%
35
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-17
Fastball Stuff+106
76
Mithrandir Stuff+104
71
Curveball Stuff+104
75
Sinker Stuff+101
41
Slider Stuff+96
16
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Young, Brandon · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.319 2026-07-06: 0.3222026-07-07: 0.3222026-07-08: 0.3222026-07-09: 0.3222026-07-10: 0.3222026-07-11: 0.3222026-07-12: 0.3192026-07-13: 0.3192026-07-14: 0.3192026-07-15: 0.3192026-07-16: 0.3192026-07-17: 0.319 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 41%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Young, Brandon · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Young, Brandon · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 41.4%Split-Finger: 20.0%Slider: 14.5%Sinker: 12.7%Curveball: 11.4% FF41% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 41%FS 20%SL 14%SI 13%CU 11% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Young, Brandon · 2026 arsenal snapshot 18″36″54″72″ 4-Seam Fastball: 41% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 94.3 mphFF94 mphSplit-Finger: 20% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 84.7 mphFS85 mphSlider: 14% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 83.7 mphSL84 mphSinker: 13% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 93.5 mphSI93 mphCurveball: 11% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 65″ drop, 75.0 mphCU75 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 51.0% 282 106 qualified
SL 19.0% 105 96 limited sample
SI 16.5% 91 101 limited sample
CB 13.6% 75 104 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 6"
Weight230 lb
Debut2025-04-19
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.43
K% Δ-0.026

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.326
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.319

Young’s wOBA-against sits at 0.326, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.319 — a gap of 0.006, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 83 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching112026-07-10Command and chase profile drove the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.0% K | 4.85 ERAProjection
2026-04-06 @ CWS0 ER / 2 K5.0 IP