Mithrandir Metrics
Player Toronto Blue Jays Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays

Louis Varland

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Toronto Blue Jays Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
ERA preseason4.11
ERA current pace0.31
ERA rolling p502.78
Observed weight35%
ERA
1.59 2.16 2.78 3.40 3.96
FIP
2.23 2.71 3.23 3.76 4.24
K%
23.8% 25.9% 28.1% 30.3% 32.3%
BB%
5.2% 6.1% 7.1% 8.1% 9.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%7.0%
75
Barrel allowed2.7%
96 +61 vs proj
Fastball velo98.2
95
Hard-hit allowed34.2%
79
K%35.7%
99 +36 vs proj
Whiff%24.8%
63
xwOBA allowed0.214
99 +39 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-02
Mithrandir Stuff+107
89
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Varland, Louis · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-19: 0.2192026-05-21: 0.2192026-05-23: 0.2122026-05-24: 0.2122026-05-25: 0.2122026-05-26: 0.2122026-05-28: 0.2122026-05-29: 0.2122026-05-30: 0.2082026-05-31: 0.2082026-06-01: 0.2142026-06-02: 0.214 2026-05-19 2026-06-02 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 43%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Varland, Louis · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 60%60%Hard hit allowed: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Varland, Louis · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 43.1%Knuckle Curve: 29.8%Changeup: 13.1%Slider: 10.0%Sinker: 4.1% MIX FF 43%KC 30%CH 13%SL 10%SI 4% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Varland, Louis · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.1, IVB 1.0FFKC: HB -0.1, IVB 3.7KCCH: HB -1.0, IVB 2.5CHSL: HB -0.4, IVB 2.2SLSI: HB 1.4, IVB 1.6SI horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 43.7% 213 108 qualified
CB 29.2% 142 103 limited sample
CH 13.1% 64 111 limited sample
SL 9.9% 48 111 limited sample
SI 4.1% 20 96 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height6' 1"
Weight205 lb
Debut2022-09-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-3.71
K% Δ+0.112

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching12025-10-08Stuff and strike quality carried the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202624.5% K | 4.02 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 @ NYY1 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-20 @ LAA0 ER / 3 K1.1 IP
2026-04-14 @ MIL0 ER / 2 K1.1 IP
2026-04-12 vs MIN0 ER / 3 K1.0 IP
2026-04-08 vs LAD0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP