Mithrandir Metrics
Player Los Angeles Dodgers Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Los Angeles Dodgers

Emmet Sheehan

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 5", 220 lb · Age 26

Cards
16
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Los Angeles Dodgers Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2023414.921311160.1641.19
2025632.821512073.1890.97
2026464.811717082.1931.24
3 Seasons14104.1745401216.02461.13
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
59
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
54
Arsenal5 metrics
71
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
ERA preseason3.86
ERA current pace4.81
ERA rolling p504.45
Observed weight62%
ERA
3.39 3.89 4.45 5.01 5.51
FIP
3.08 3.52 4.01 4.50 4.94
K%
23.5% 24.7% 26.1% 27.5% 28.7%
BB%
6.3% 7.0% 7.8% 8.5% 9.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.24
63
ERA4.81
29
BB%7.5%
67
K%26.4%
76 +17 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.306
59
Barrel allowed10.0%
20 -19 vs proj
Fastball velo94.5
50
Hard-hit allowed40.6%
39
Whiff%28.4%
86
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-17
Fastball Stuff+105
73
Mithrandir Stuff+105
73
Slider Stuff+104
63
Changeup Stuff+108
88
Curveball Stuff+102
59
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Sheehan, Emmet · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.306 2026-07-06: 0.3142026-07-07: 0.3082026-07-08: 0.3082026-07-09: 0.3082026-07-10: 0.3082026-07-11: 0.3082026-07-12: 0.3082026-07-13: 0.3082026-07-14: 0.3062026-07-15: 0.3062026-07-16: 0.3062026-07-17: 0.306 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 43%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Sheehan, Emmet · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 28%28%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 53%53%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Sheehan, Emmet · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 43.2%Slider: 30.8%Changeup: 16.1%Curveball: 9.9% FF43% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 43%SL 31%CH 16%CU 10% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Sheehan, Emmet · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 43% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 94.5 mphFF94 mphSlider: 31% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 86.6 mphSL87 mphChangeup: 16% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 85.5 mphCH85 mphCurveball: 10% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 60″ drop, 77.1 mphCU77 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 42.3% 431 105 qualified
SL 32.2% 328 104 qualified
CH 16.0% 163 108 limited sample
CB 9.4% 96 102 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 5"
Weight220 lb
Debut2023-06-16
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+1.11
K% Δ+0.025

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

2.1σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.363
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.306

Sheehan’s wOBA-against sits at 0.363, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.306 — a gap of 0.058, 2.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 90 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching162026-07-12Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202623.9% K | 3.70 ERAProjection
2026-04-11 vs TEX3 ER / 6 K6.0 IP
2026-04-03 @ WSH4 ER / 2 K5.2 IP
2026-03-27 vs AZ4 ER / 6 K3.1 IP