Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 195 lb |
| Debut | 2025-05-26 |
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays
Victor Mesa Jr.
CF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.
Club Tampa Bay Rays
Position CF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.282 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.428 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.293 |
| Observed weight | 8% |
xwOBA
0.219
0.254
0.293
0.331
0.366
wOBA
0.187
0.255
0.329
0.404
0.471
ISO
0.051
0.091
0.135
0.180
0.220
K%
9.5%
14.5%
20.0%
25.6%
30.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · RF
Limited
Outs Above Avg0.3 · RF · small sample regression applied
71
Regression applied
Range Runs0.7 · RF
Limited
Mithrandir+
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.5% · rebadged research
22
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 8.3% · rebadged research
99
Correct Decisions71.2% · rebadged research
90
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · borderline
23
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
41
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
49
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · insufficient sample
30
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
52
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354 · validated
57
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
91
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.300 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |