Mithrandir Metrics
Player Indianapolis Indians Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Indianapolis Indians

Tyler Callihan

LF · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 11", 205 lb · Age 26

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Indianapolis Indians Position LF Roster Current MLB team Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202560100.167.167.167.334
2026107132031.211.283.389.672
2 Seasons113132131.208.277.376.653
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
27
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
28
Defense3 metrics
40
Speed1 metrics
65
Plate skills10 metrics
45
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.256
xwOBA current pace0.252
xwOBA rolling p500.255
Observed weight35%
xwOBA
0.183 0.217 0.255 0.293 0.327
wOBA
0.274 0.300 0.329 0.359 0.385
ISO
0.070 0.102 0.137 0.172 0.204
K%
19.9% 24.5% 29.6% 34.7% 39.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
41
Exit velocity83.9
11
Hard-hit%28.1%
12
xBA0.308
38
xSLG0.494
49
xwOBA0.252
10
BB%8.5%
52 +20 vs proj
Bat speed68.7
37
K%35.9%
3 -25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.7 · RF
35
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Range Runs-1.6 · RF
34
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.0 · RF
65
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 48.1% · rebadged research
3
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 16.1% · rebadged research
97
Correct Decisions61.6% · rebadged research
14
Mithrandir Stuff+72
3
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline
43
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.261 · validated thin sample
88
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328 · validated
71
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
56
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
16
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Callihan, Tyler · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.252 2026-09-12: 0.2522026-09-13: 0.2522026-09-14: 0.2522026-09-18: 0.2522026-09-19: 0.2522026-09-20: 0.2522026-09-21: 0.2522026-09-22: 0.2522026-09-23: 0.2522026-09-24: 0.2522026-09-25: 0.2522026-09-26: 0.252 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 45%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Callihan, Tyler · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 34%34%Whiff: 32%32%Zone contact: 76%76%Contact: 68%68%Hard hit: 28%28% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Callihan, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot Other: 45.3%Slider: 34.0%Changeup: 18.9%Curveball: 1.9% FA45% · 70 mphprimary pitch FA 45%SL 34%CH 19%CU 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Callihan, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Other: 45% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 43″ drop, 70.3 mphFA70 mphSlider: 34% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 43″ drop, 69.8 mphSL70 mphChangeup: 19% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 44″ drop, 69.0 mphCH69 mphCurveball: 2% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 56″ drop, 65.5 mphCU66 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 100.0% 1 73 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height5' 11"
Weight205 lb
Debut2025-04-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.020
wOBA Δ+0.057

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.0σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.329
xwOBA (deserved)0.252

Callihan’s wOBA sits at 0.329, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.252 — a gap of 0.077, -2.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 117 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Fielding22026-07-272 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.778
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.272 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-03-20 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-1 | K
2026-03-19 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1
2026-03-18 vs DET1 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E2-3 | HR, K, RBI
2026-03-11 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB, K, R