Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / NYY
Spencer Jones
Player · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 7", 240 lb · Age 25
Club NYY
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 289 | 36 | 64 | 11 | 10 | .245 | .313 | .429 | .742 |
| 1 Seasons | 289 | 36 | 64 | 11 | 10 | .245 | .313 | .429 | .742 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
94
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.252 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.327 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.295 |
| Observed weight | 57% |
xwOBA
0.245
0.269
0.295
0.321
0.345
wOBA
0.313
0.330
0.349
0.367
0.384
ISO
0.120
0.142
0.167
0.192
0.214
K%
24.9%
27.6%
30.5%
33.4%
36.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.5%
97
+61 vs proj
Exit velocity94.3
99
Hard-hit%55.3%
98
+63 vs proj
xBA0.399
98
xSLG0.762
98
xwOBA0.327
75
+40 vs proj
BB%8.8%
54
Bat speed75.4
99
K%35.6%
4
-33 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.9 · CF
31
Arm Strength95.1 · CF
59
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
25
Range Runs-2.0 · CF
28
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · CF
48
Bolts8.0 · CF
58
SB Success Rate66.7% · CF
19
Sprint Speed28.9 · CF
88
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.9% · rebadged research
28
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.6% · rebadged research
94
Correct Decisions67.5% · rebadged research
65
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.320 · borderline
11
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
59
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.262 · validated thin sample
87
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
34
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320 · validated
83
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.375 · validated
17
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
109 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.036 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.058 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Jones’s wOBA sits at 0.349, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.327 — a gap of 0.021, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 295 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2026-09-23 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 27 | 2026-09-22 | 6 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.548 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.291 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |