Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Juan Brito

2B · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 0", 202 lb · Age 25

Cards
7
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position 2B Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026115132631.245.296.387.683
1 Seasons115132631.245.296.387.683
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
40
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
38
Defense4 metrics
24
Speed1 metrics
44
Plate skills10 metrics
50
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.239
xwOBA current pace0.297
xwOBA rolling p500.259
Observed weight35%
xwOBA
0.199 0.228 0.259 0.291 0.319
wOBA
0.270 0.297 0.326 0.355 0.382
ISO
0.047 0.082 0.120 0.159 0.193
K%
12.6% 16.5% 20.8% 25.1% 29.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
42 +18 vs proj
Exit velocity85.5
24
Hard-hit%32.5%
25
xBA0.323
56
xSLG0.500
51
xwOBA0.297
44
BB%6.0%
23
Bat speed68.0
30
K%24.1%
44 -31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · 2B
14
Arm Strength83.4 · 2B
19
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 2B
27
Range Runs-1.6 · 2B
37
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.2 · 2B
44
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.8% · rebadged research
42
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.0% · rebadged research
30
Correct Decisions65.2% · rebadged research
40
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
69
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
41
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.264 · validated thin sample
86
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.316 · insufficient sample
74
Resists FastballwOBA 0.387 · validated
5
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.344 · validated
79
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
33
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Brito, Juan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.297 2026-09-13: 0.3032026-09-14: 0.2922026-09-18: 0.2852026-09-19: 0.2852026-09-20: 0.2852026-09-21: 0.2842026-09-22: 0.2842026-09-23: 0.2842026-09-24: 0.2992026-09-25: 0.2992026-09-26: 0.2972026-09-27: 0.297 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

68 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Brito, Juan · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 79% of plotted batted ballsCenter 79%Right field third: 7% of plotted batted ballsOppo 7% LF 325 CF 400 RF 325 2026-03-17 · fielders choice · FC · ground_ball · EV 61.0 / LA -51.02026-03-17 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 0.02026-04-07 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.0 / LA 10.02026-04-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 25.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA -1.02026-04-07 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 107.2 / LA 12.02026-04-08 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.4 / LA -9.02026-04-08 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 69.2 / LA 27.02026-04-08 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 100.1 / LA 14.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA -19.02026-04-10 · field out · FC · popup · EV 69.1 / LA 48.02026-04-10 · field out · CU · popup · EV 70.7 / LA 57.02026-04-10 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -2.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.3 / LA -21.02026-04-11 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 78.7 / LA 41.02026-04-12 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -10.02026-04-13 · field out · ST · popup · EV 73.5 / LA 81.02026-04-13 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 76.1 / LA 20.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 79.5 / LA 34.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.5 / LA -6.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -17.02026-04-15 · field out · FC · popup · EV 65.2 / LA 83.02026-04-16 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 5.02026-04-17 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 77.2 / LA -23.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · popup · EV 53.2 / LA 41.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 54.3 / LA -47.02026-04-19 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 26.02026-04-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.0 / LA -42.02026-04-20 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 92.0 / LA 20.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 59.7 / LA 86.02026-04-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 61.3 / LA 1.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.6 / LA 22.02026-04-25 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 95.4 / LA 23.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.0 / LA -2.02026-04-26 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 8.02026-04-26 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA -1.02026-09-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 4.02026-09-01 · sac fly · SI · line_drive · EV 83.4 / LA 25.02026-09-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 87.8 / LA 50.02026-09-02 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 30.02026-09-02 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 41.02026-09-06 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 77.4 / LA 19.02026-09-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 62.6 / LA 7.02026-09-06 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 24.02026-09-06 · single · SV · line_drive · EV 76.2 / LA 21.02026-09-09 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 86.8 / LA 50.02026-09-09 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 71.6 / LA 0.02026-09-09 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 9.02026-09-12 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 75.6 / LA 10.02026-09-12 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.7 / LA 27.02026-09-12 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA -3.02026-09-12 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 30.02026-09-13 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 36.02026-09-13 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 25.02026-09-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA -10.02026-09-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA -11.02026-09-17 · grounded into double play · KC · ground_ball · EV 84.2 / LA -31.02026-09-17 · field out · FF · popup · EV 80.6 / LA 81.02026-09-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 66.8 / LA -49.02026-09-23 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 72.5 / LA 15.02026-09-23 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 73.0 / LA -7.02026-09-23 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 96.3 / LA 15.02026-09-23 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 28.02026-09-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA -11.02026-09-25 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 4.02026-09-25 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 81.3 / LA 8.02026-09-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.2 / LA 4.02026-09-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 80.2 / LA 42.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Brito, Juan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 32%32%Whiff: 24%24%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 76%76%Hard hit: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height6' 0"
Weight202 lb
Debut2026-04-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.005
wOBA Δ+0.035

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.8σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.326
xwOBA (deserved)0.297

Brito’s wOBA sits at 0.326, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.297 — a gap of 0.029, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 116 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-09-12Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding62026-09-232 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.366
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.291 xwOBA | 9 HRProjection
2026-04-20 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E0-3 | HBP
2026-04-17 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K
2026-04-15 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-04-14 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 1 E0-1 | R
2026-04-13 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K, R