Mithrandir Metrics
Player ACL Padres Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / ACL Padres

Randy Vásquez

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 165 lb · Age 27

Cards
15
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club ACL Padres Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024474.872020098.0621.51
2025673.8428260133.2781.32
2026664.711716084.0601.50
4 Seasons18224.2376670353.12331.41
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
29
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
25
Arsenal7 metrics
66
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
ERA preseason4.50
ERA current pace4.71
ERA rolling p504.63
Observed weight63%
ERA
3.32 3.94 4.63 5.32 5.94
FIP
3.97 4.39 4.85 5.32 5.74
K%
14.5% 15.5% 16.6% 17.7% 18.6%
BB%
5.6% 6.3% 7.0% 7.7% 8.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.49
20
ERA4.71
32
BB%6.6%
81 +24 vs proj
K%16.6%
12
xwOBA allowed0.397
1
Barrel allowed12.9%
4 -30 vs proj
Fastball velo95.0
58
Hard-hit allowed47.9%
5
Whiff%17.9%
11
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-17
Cutter Stuff+104
71
Fastball Stuff+104
67
Mithrandir Stuff+105
76
Changeup Stuff+100
31
Curveball Stuff+105
88
Sinker Stuff+105
70
Slider Stuff+104
62
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Vásquez, Randy · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.397 2026-07-06: 0.3982026-07-07: 0.3982026-07-08: 0.3982026-07-09: 0.3982026-07-10: 0.3982026-07-11: 0.3982026-07-12: 0.3982026-07-13: 0.3982026-07-14: 0.3982026-07-15: 0.3982026-07-16: 0.3972026-07-17: 0.397 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

7Pitches 2026Season 33%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Vásquez, Randy · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 18%18%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 48%48% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Vásquez, Randy · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 32.9%Cutter: 23.2%Sinker: 12.4%Curveball: 12.0%Changeup: 8.2%Sweeper: 6.0% FF33% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 33%FC 23%SI 12%CU 12%CH 8%ST 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Vásquez, Randy · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 33% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 95.0 mphFF95 mphCutter: 23% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 90.4 mphFC90 mphSinker: 12% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 94.9 mphSI95 mphCurveball: 12% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 42″ drop, 83.9 mphCU84 mphChangeup: 8% usage, 18″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 88.3 mphCH88 mphSweeper: 6% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 84.2 mphST84 mphSlider: 5% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 86.0 mphSL86 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 31.1% 327 104 qualified
FC 24.1% 253 104 qualified
SI 13.4% 141 105 limited sample
CB 11.4% 120 105 limited sample
SL 11.0% 116 104 limited sample
CH 8.9% 93 100 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 0"
Weight165 lb
Debut2023-05-26
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.37
K% Δ+0.003

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.7σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.416
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.397

Vásquez’s wOBA-against sits at 0.416, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.397 — a gap of 0.018, 0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 91 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching152026-07-02Stuff and strike quality carried the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202616.3% K | 5.07 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 vs LAD3 ER / 0 K4.1 IP
2026-04-15 vs SEA4 ER / 6 K4.0 IP
2026-04-09 vs COL1 ER / 8 K5.2 IP
2026-04-04 @ BOS1 ER / 3 K6.0 IP