Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
| Debut | 2023-06-19 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Henry Davis
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 225 lb · Age 26
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position C
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 122 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 0 | .144 | .242 | .212 | .454 |
| 2025 | 283 | 25 | 42 | 7 | 2 | .167 | .234 | .278 | .512 |
| 2026 | 188 | 24 | 27 | 8 | 2 | .166 | .267 | .344 | .611 |
| 4 Seasons | 848 | 85 | 132 | 23 | 7 | .177 | .263 | .305 | .568 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
42
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.300 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.294 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.297 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
xwOBA
0.259
0.277
0.297
0.318
0.336
wOBA
0.283
0.303
0.325
0.348
0.368
ISO
0.127
0.147
0.170
0.193
0.214
K%
20.0%
21.5%
23.3%
25.0%
26.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.9%
77
+30 vs proj
Exit velocity87.9
47
Hard-hit%40.0%
54
xBA0.259
7
xSLG0.455
29
xwOBA0.294
37
BB%9.4%
60
+18 vs proj
Bat speed70.6
66
K%20.2%
64
+35 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.7 · C
20
Catcher Throwing1.7 · C
91
Framing Runs-0.4 · C
42
Pop Time1.9 · C
97
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.9 · C
65
SB Success Rate66.7% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.7% · rebadged research
51
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.8% · rebadged research
72
Correct Decisions70.2% · rebadged research
87
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.276 · borderline
76
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
68
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.247 · validated thin sample
98
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
48
Resists FastballwOBA 0.313 · validated
91
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361 · validated
43
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
61
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
108 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.000 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.031 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Davis’s wOBA sits at 0.325, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.294 — a gap of 0.031, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 203 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L | 0.72 | In-zone contactIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Springer, George TOR · R | 0.65 | Isolated powerHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Young, Cole SEA · L | 0.61 | Sprint speedGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Swanson, Dansby CHC · R | 0.58 | Oppo rateWalk rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-06-25 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.294 xwOBA | 9 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-17 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB |
| 2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | HBP |
| 2026-04-13 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | BB, K, 3 R |
| 2026-04-11 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 14 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 4 K |
| 2026-04-07 vs SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B |