Mithrandir Metrics
Player Toronto Blue Jays Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays

Braydon Fisher

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 4", 180 lb · Age 25

Cards
4
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Toronto Blue Jays Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025702.70521050.0621.02
2026333.45446147.0481.15
2 Seasons1033.06967197.01101.08
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
60
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
53
Arsenal5 metrics
57
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason3.88
ERA current pace3.45
ERA rolling p503.68
Observed weight45%
ERA
2.71 3.17 3.68 4.20 4.66
FIP
3.34 3.63 3.96 4.29 4.58
K%
23.8% 25.5% 27.3% 29.2% 30.8%
BB%
8.0% 9.0% 10.2% 11.3% 12.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.12
80
ERA3.45
66
BB%11.2%
24 -19 vs proj
K%25.9%
73
xwOBA allowed0.304
60
Barrel allowed12.4%
6 -40 vs proj
Fastball velo94.8
54
Hard-hit allowed39.7%
45
Whiff%25.3%
69
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-16
Mithrandir Stuff+104
65
Slider Stuff+106
82
Curveball Stuff+105
91
Cutter Stuff+99
30
Fastball Stuff+96
15
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Fisher, Braydon · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.304 2026-07-05: 0.3112026-07-06: 0.3062026-07-07: 0.3062026-07-08: 0.3062026-07-09: 0.3062026-07-10: 0.3062026-07-11: 0.3062026-07-12: 0.3062026-07-13: 0.3042026-07-14: 0.3042026-07-15: 0.3042026-07-16: 0.304 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 50%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Fisher, Braydon · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 20%20%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fisher, Braydon · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 49.9%Curveball: 28.8%4-Seam Fastball: 17.4%Cutter: 3.8% SL50% · 89 mphprimary pitch SL 50%CU 29%FF 17%FC 4% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fisher, Braydon · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Slider: 50% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 88.6 mphSL89 mphCurveball: 29% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 53″ drop, 81.6 mphCU82 mph4-Seam Fastball: 17% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 94.8 mphFF95 mphCutter: 4% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 92.6 mphFC93 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 48.9% 245 106 qualified
CB 28.3% 142 105 limited sample
FB 17.0% 85 96 limited sample
FC 5.8% 29 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height6' 4"
Weight180 lb
Debut2025-05-11
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.34
K% Δ-0.003

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.3σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.295
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.304

Fisher’s wOBA-against sits at 0.295, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.304 — a gap of 0.010, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 48 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching42026-07-01Run prevention outpaced the underlying contact signals
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202626.2% K | 3.79 ERAProjection
2026-04-20 @ LAA0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-17 @ AZ0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-15 @ MIL0 ER / 0 K0.1 IP
2026-04-14 @ MIL1 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-04 @ CWS0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP