Mithrandir Metrics
Player DET Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / DET

Ty Madden

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 215 lb · Age 26

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club DET Position -- Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024114.3061023.0171.43
2026103.26201047.0461.00
2 Seasons213.60262070.0631.14
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
75
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
70
Arsenal5 metrics
24
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason4.00
ERA current pace3.48
ERA rolling p503.78
Observed weight43%
ERA
2.49 3.10 3.78 4.45 5.06
FIP
2.36 3.06 3.84 4.61 5.31
K%
17.2% 19.0% 21.0% 23.1% 24.9%
BB%
6.0% 7.0% 8.1% 9.2% 10.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.09
86
ERA3.48
70
BB%7.7%
67 +15 vs proj
K%23.8%
63 +25 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.273
87 +56 vs proj
Barrel allowed5.8%
77 +44 vs proj
Fastball velo93.1
29
Hard-hit allowed30.6%
95
Whiff%23.4%
57
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Cutter Stuff+97
15
Fastball Stuff+96
16
Mithrandir Stuff+97
16
Sinker Stuff+104
61
Slider Stuff+94
10
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Madden, Ty · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.273 2026-09-13: 0.2692026-09-14: 0.2692026-09-18: 0.2652026-09-19: 0.2652026-09-20: 0.2652026-09-21: 0.2732026-09-22: 0.2732026-09-23: 0.2732026-09-24: 0.2732026-09-25: 0.2732026-09-26: 0.2732026-09-27: 0.273 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 33%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Madden, Ty · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 42%42%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 31%31% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Madden, Ty · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 32.7%Slider: 21.4%Cutter: 20.3%Split-Finger: 14.0%Sinker: 10.7%Knuckle Curve: 0.8% FF33% · 93 mphprimary pitch FF 33%SL 21%FC 20%FS 14%SI 11%KC 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Madden, Ty · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 33% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 93.4 mphFF93 mphSlider: 21% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 43″ drop, 83.8 mphSL84 mphCutter: 20% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 87.5 mphFC87 mphSplit-Finger: 14% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 85.4 mphFS85 mphSinker: 11% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 92.3 mphSI92 mphKnuckle Curve: 1% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 56″ drop, 78.8 mphKC79 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 37.3% 149 96 limited sample
FC 25.6% 102 97 limited sample
SL 22.3% 89 94 limited sample
SI 13.5% 54 104 limited sample
CB 1.3% 5 98 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.99
K% Δ+0.032

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.3σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.283
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.273

Madden’s wOBA-against sits at 0.283, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.273 — a gap of 0.010, 0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 43 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching32026-03-104-Seam Fastball played up through SI/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.6% K | 4.47 ERAProjection