Mithrandir Metrics
Player Baltimore Orioles Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles

Kyle Bradish

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 215 lb · Age 29

Cards
18
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Baltimore Orioles Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024202.7588039.1531.07
2025112.5366032.0471.03
2026693.6119190107.11061.35
5 Seasons25243.5086860465.04851.21
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
47
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
50
Arsenal5 metrics
53
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason3.42
ERA current pace3.61
ERA rolling p503.55
Observed weight67%
ERA
2.41 2.95 3.55 4.14 4.68
FIP
3.32 3.58 3.87 4.15 4.41
K%
22.1% 23.3% 24.6% 25.9% 27.1%
BB%
8.5% 9.2% 10.0% 10.8% 11.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.38
40
ERA3.61
58
BB%11.1%
24 -32 vs proj
K%22.9%
52 -26 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.303
62
Barrel allowed7.8%
47
Fastball velo94.4
50
Hard-hit allowed37.0%
63
Whiff%24.1%
58
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-16
Curveball Stuff+103
65
Fastball Stuff+102
44
Mithrandir Stuff+103
57
Sinker Stuff+99
26
Slider Stuff+105
75
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Bradish, Kyle · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.303 2026-07-05: 0.3102026-07-06: 0.3102026-07-07: 0.3062026-07-08: 0.3062026-07-09: 0.3062026-07-10: 0.3062026-07-11: 0.3062026-07-12: 0.3062026-07-13: 0.3032026-07-14: 0.3032026-07-15: 0.3032026-07-16: 0.303 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 33%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Bradish, Kyle · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 34%34%Zone: 43%43%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 43%43%Hard hit allowed: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bradish, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 33.4%Slider: 26.8%Curveball: 21.9%4-Seam Fastball: 18.0% SI33% · 95 mphprimary pitch SI 33%SL 27%CU 22%FF 18% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bradish, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Sinker: 33% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 94.7 mphSI95 mphSlider: 27% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 87.3 mphSL87 mphCurveball: 22% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 52″ drop, 84.6 mphCU85 mph4-Seam Fastball: 18% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 94.0 mphFF94 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 31.4% 384 99 qualified
SL 27.6% 338 105 qualified
CB 22.4% 274 103 qualified
FB 18.6% 227 102 qualified
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 3"
Weight215 lb
Debut2022-04-29
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.19
K% Δ-0.040

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.336
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.303

Bradish’s wOBA-against sits at 0.336, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.303 — a gap of 0.033, 1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 110 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching182026-07-11Sinker played up through SI/CU tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202626.9% K | 3.42 ERAProjection
2026-04-20 @ KC1 ER / 7 K5.1 IP
2026-04-15 vs AZ4 ER / 4 K6.0 IP
2026-04-08 @ CWS2 ER / 7 K5.0 IP
2026-04-03 @ PIT4 ER / 6 K4.0 IP