Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / TEX
Justin Foscue
Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 205 lb · Age 27
Club TEX
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .048 | .091 | .071 | .162 |
| 2025 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .111 | .111 | .222 | .333 |
| 2026 | 245 | 26 | 61 | 11 | 0 | .274 | .335 | .489 | .824 |
| 3 Seasons | 298 | 29 | 64 | 11 | 0 | .234 | .292 | .416 | .708 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
73
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.210 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.328 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.273 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
xwOBA
0.219
0.245
0.273
0.301
0.327
wOBA
0.323
0.341
0.361
0.382
0.400
ISO
0.108
0.131
0.157
0.182
0.205
K%
22.5%
25.8%
29.5%
33.1%
36.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.7%
77
+47 vs proj
Exit velocity89.2
66
Hard-hit%41.3%
64
+53 vs proj
xBA0.340
74
xSLG0.604
81
xwOBA0.328
75
+69 vs proj
BB%7.1%
33
+15 vs proj
Bat speed69.4
47
K%25.5%
35
+30 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength78.7 · 2B
3
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
47
Range Runs2.2 · 2B
76
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.6 · 2B
53
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.6% · rebadged research
56
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7% · rebadged research
35
Correct Decisions66.6% · rebadged research
54
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
68
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.305 · insufficient sample
7
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.262 · validated thin sample
87
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.369 · insufficient sample
3
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319 · validated
84
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.373 · validated
20
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
48
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
107 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.086 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.120 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Foscue’s wOBA sits at 0.361, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.328 — a gap of 0.034, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 255 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-08-25 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 12 | 2026-09-22 | 5 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.815 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.241 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |