Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 5' 6" |
| Weight | 175 lb |
| Debut | 2024-04-01 |
Player profile / Houston Astros
Jorge Barrosa
CF · Bats/Throws S/L · 5' 6", 175 lb · Age 25
Club Houston Astros
Position CF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .176 | .176 | .294 | .470 |
| 2025 | 77 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | .141 | .169 | .225 | .394 |
| 2026 | 174 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 3 | .193 | .285 | .331 | .616 |
| 3 Seasons | 269 | 41 | 41 | 3 | 4 | .176 | .243 | .296 | .539 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
9
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.273 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.240 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.257 |
| Observed weight | 47% |
xwOBA
0.214
0.235
0.257
0.280
0.300
wOBA
0.335
0.356
0.380
0.403
0.424
ISO
0.102
0.126
0.153
0.179
0.203
K%
17.9%
20.4%
23.3%
26.2%
28.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.6%
31
Exit velocity78.6
1
Hard-hit%25.4%
8
-23 vs proj
xBA0.243
3
xSLG0.370
6
xwOBA0.240
6
-22 vs proj
BB%10.3%
73
+57 vs proj
Bat speed63.3
3
K%25.3%
37
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.0 · CF
13
Arm Strength91.0 · CF
26
Outs Above Avg1.0 · CF
80
Range Runs5.7 · CF
89
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts3.0 · CF
32
Sprint Speed28.4 · CF
78
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.6% · rebadged research
56
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.2% · rebadged research
23
Correct Decisions64.1% · rebadged research
28
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline
45
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
43
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
48
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.348 · insufficient sample
12
Resists FastballwOBA 0.287 · validated
99
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369 · validated
26
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
41
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
96 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.044 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.096 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Barrosa’s wOBA sits at 0.380, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.240 — a gap of 0.140, -4.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 194 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 3 | 2026-07-29 | 6 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.004 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.283 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-20 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-17 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K, R |
| 2026-04-15 @ BAL0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-14 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | 2B, BB, HBP |