Mithrandir Metrics
Player Boston Red Sox Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Boston Red Sox

Anthony Seigler

2B · Bats/Throws S/S · 5' 9", 192 lb · Age 27

Cards
12
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Boston Red Sox Position 2B Roster Current MLB team Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20257361202.194.292.210.502
2026173213732.247.327.400.727
2 Seasons246274934.231.317.344.661
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
37
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
43
Defense3 metrics
20
Speed1 metrics
11
Plate skills9 metrics
64
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.276
xwOBA current pace0.312
xwOBA rolling p500.292
Observed weight44%
xwOBA
0.260 0.275 0.292 0.309 0.325
wOBA
0.283 0.304 0.328 0.352 0.374
ISO
0.087 0.109 0.134 0.159 0.181
K%
13.8% 16.4% 19.2% 22.1% 24.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.0%
36
Exit velocity86.2
32
Hard-hit%34.9%
34
xBA0.297
26
xSLG0.455
33
xwOBA0.312
60
BB%10.3%
72 +18 vs proj
Bat speed64.7
6
K%16.0%
86 +37 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength83.2 · 2B
17
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 2B
14
Range Runs-2.6 · 2B
28
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.6 · 2B
11
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.1% · rebadged research
80
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.9% · rebadged research
63
Correct Decisions71.8% · rebadged research
93
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · borderline
87
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.300 · insufficient sample
10
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
83
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
41
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363 · validated
36
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
84
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Seigler, Anthony · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.312 2026-09-12: 0.3152026-09-13: 0.3122026-09-14: 0.3122026-09-18: 0.3122026-09-19: 0.3122026-09-20: 0.3122026-09-21: 0.3122026-09-22: 0.3122026-09-23: 0.3122026-09-24: 0.3122026-09-25: 0.3122026-09-26: 0.312 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

37 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Seigler, Anthony · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsPull 19%Center field third: 62% of plotted batted ballsCenter 62%Right field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsOppo 19% LF 310 CF 390 RF 302 2026-06-04 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 80.8 / LA 21.02026-06-07 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 96.0 / LA 16.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 3.02026-06-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.4 / LA 8.02026-06-22 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 99.7 / LA 17.02026-06-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 2.02026-06-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 9.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -18.02026-06-24 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 22.02026-06-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.4 / LA -24.02026-06-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 5.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.5 / LA 27.02026-06-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 14.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.5 / LA -14.02026-06-30 · double · KC · ground_ball · EV 84.1 / LA 10.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 79.2 / LA 38.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 43.02026-07-01 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 66.2 / LA -38.02026-07-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 6.02026-07-31 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.1 / LA -10.02026-07-31 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 84.9 / LA 42.02026-07-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA -5.02026-08-02 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.1 / LA 55.02026-08-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 66.4 / LA -4.02026-08-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.1 / LA 12.02026-08-07 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 27.02026-08-07 · field out · FA · fly_ball · EV 82.3 / LA 35.02026-08-07 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 93.8 / LA 22.02026-08-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 31.02026-08-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 48.02026-08-24 · triple · CU · line_drive · EV 87.6 / LA 13.02026-08-24 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 76.2 / LA 48.02026-08-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 51.9 / LA -39.02026-08-26 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 0.02026-08-26 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA 5.02026-09-12 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 46.02026-09-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.1 / LA -17.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Seigler, Anthony · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 26%26%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height5' 9"
Weight192 lb
Debut2025-07-02
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.001
wOBA Δ+0.017

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.5σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.328
xwOBA (deserved)0.312

Seigler’s wOBA sits at 0.328, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.312 — a gap of 0.016, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 175 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-07-24Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Fielding102026-08-254 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -1.323
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.312 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-08-15 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1