Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Ryan Weathers

P · Bats/Throws R/L · 6' 1", 230 lb · Age 26

Cards
25
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position P Roster Current MLB team Status IL-15
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024563.631616086.2801.18
2025223.9988038.1371.28
2026583.6025250137.11431.22
6 Seasons17314.5095801418.13781.33
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
65
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
56
Arsenal5 metrics
68
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason3.87
ERA current pace3.60
ERA rolling p503.68
Observed weight72%
ERA
2.44 3.02 3.68 4.33 4.92
FIP
3.02 3.42 3.86 4.31 4.71
K%
21.8% 23.0% 24.3% 25.5% 26.7%
BB%
5.7% 6.3% 6.9% 7.5% 8.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.26
61
ERA3.60
66
BB%6.6%
83 +23 vs proj
K%25.0%
71 +27 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.319
42 -16 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.3%
22 -18 vs proj
Fastball velo95.1
61
Hard-hit allowed41.7%
28
Whiff%25.2%
69
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Changeup Stuff+101
45
Fastball Stuff+105
72
Mithrandir Stuff+104
71
Sinker Stuff+106
77
Slider Stuff+105
76
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Weathers, Ryan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.319 2026-09-12: 0.3192026-09-13: 0.3192026-09-14: 0.3192026-09-18: 0.3192026-09-19: 0.3192026-09-20: 0.3192026-09-21: 0.3192026-09-22: 0.3192026-09-23: 0.3192026-09-24: 0.3192026-09-25: 0.3192026-09-26: 0.319 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 25%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Weathers, Ryan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 19%19%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Weathers, Ryan · 2026 arsenal snapshot Changeup: 24.7%4-Seam Fastball: 22.7%Sinker: 20.7%Sweeper: 20.5%Slider: 11.4% CH25% · 86 mphprimary pitch CH 25%FF 23%SI 21%ST 20%SL 11% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Weathers, Ryan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Changeup: 25% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 85.8 mphCH86 mph4-Seam Fastball: 23% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 95.9 mphFF96 mphSinker: 21% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 94.2 mphSI94 mphSweeper: 20% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 81.4 mphST81 mphSlider: 11% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 87.0 mphSL87 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 29.8% 458 105 qualified
CH 24.6% 377 101 qualified
FB 24.3% 373 105 qualified
SI 21.3% 327 106 qualified
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 1"
Weight230 lb
Debut2020-10-06
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.52
K% Δ+0.037

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.9σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.343
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.319

Weathers’s wOBA-against sits at 0.343, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.319 — a gap of 0.024, 0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 144 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching252026-08-22Sinker played up through CH/FF tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.4% K | 4.12 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 vs LAA5 ER / 10 K5.0 IP
2026-04-09 vs ATH1 ER / 7 K8.0 IP
2026-04-04 vs MIA3 ER / 4 K3.2 IP
2026-03-30 @ SEA1 ER / 7 K4.1 IP