Mithrandir Metrics
Player CIN Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / CIN

Rece Hinds

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 215 lb · Age 26

Cards
7
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club CIN Position -- Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20245191252.261.333.7171.050
2025446520.116.136.279.415
2026712900.143.211.222.433
3 Seasons166172672.171.229.388.617
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
29
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
31
Defense2 metrics
53
Speed1 metrics
86
Plate skills10 metrics
53
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.266
xwOBA current pace0.184
xwOBA rolling p500.244
Observed weight27%
xwOBA
0.163 0.201 0.244 0.286 0.325
wOBA
0.255 0.286 0.321 0.356 0.387
ISO
0.089 0.125 0.165 0.206 0.242
K%
24.6% 28.4% 32.6% 36.8% 40.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.5%
17 -54 vs proj
Exit velocity89.2
67
Hard-hit%42.1%
68
xBA0.282
15
xSLG0.367
6
xwOBA0.184
1 -42 vs proj
BB%7.4%
36
Bat speed71.0
72
K%42.0%
0 -20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength94.5 · RF
57
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Arm Runs-0.2 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs-1.2 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.8 · RF
86
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.3% · rebadged research
12
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.0% · rebadged research
81
Correct Decisions61.2% · rebadged research
11
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.274 · borderline
81
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
60
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.268 · validated thin sample
80
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.311 · insufficient sample
82
Resists FastballwOBA 0.326 · validated
73
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.366 · validated
29
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
24
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Hinds, Rece · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.184 2026-09-13: 0.1782026-09-14: 0.1882026-09-18: 0.1712026-09-19: 0.1702026-09-20: 0.1702026-09-21: 0.1962026-09-22: 0.1992026-09-23: 0.1992026-09-24: 0.1992026-09-25: 0.1992026-09-26: 0.1842026-09-27: 0.184 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

33 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Hinds, Rece · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 9% of plotted batted ballsPull 9%Center field third: 73% of plotted batted ballsCenter 73%Right field third: 18% of plotted batted ballsOppo 18% LF 328 CF 404 RF 325 2026-03-15 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 75.8 / LA 39.02026-03-15 · field out · ST · popup · EV 77.5 / LA 58.02026-03-16 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 107.9 / LA 28.02026-03-17 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA -8.02026-03-18 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 33.02026-03-18 · double · SI · popup · EV 91.1 / LA 63.02026-03-20 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA -11.02026-04-14 · field out · SL · popup · EV 71.9 / LA 48.02026-04-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball2026-04-15 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.3 / LA 11.02026-04-16 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 58.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball2026-04-18 · field out · FC · popup · EV 86.8 / LA 59.02026-04-18 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 93.6 / LA 9.02026-04-18 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 78.1 / LA 49.02026-04-18 · sac fly double play · FS · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 46.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 77.1 / LA 33.02026-04-19 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 101.7 / LA 16.02026-04-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA -7.02026-04-20 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 91.4 / LA 14.02026-04-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA -4.02026-04-24 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 109.5 / LA -2.02026-04-28 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 56.0 / LA 36.02026-09-06 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 17.02026-09-07 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 51.02026-09-07 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 104.7 / LA -8.02026-09-09 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 50.02026-09-09 · sac fly · CH · fly_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 42.02026-09-12 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 95.5 / LA 23.02026-09-18 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -40.02026-09-21 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA 6.02026-09-21 · field out · ST · popup · EV 74.8 / LA 65.02026-09-21 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 93.2 / LA 19.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Hinds, Rece · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 43%43%Chase: 40%40%Whiff: 43%43%Zone contact: 67%67%Contact: 57%57%Hard hit: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.112
wOBA Δ+0.025
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-03-18Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Fielding62026-09-253 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.223
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.296 xwOBA | 9 HRProjection