Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2024-03-28 |
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles
Blaze Alexander
3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 200 lb · Age 27
Club Baltimore Orioles
Position 3B
Roster Injured 10-Day
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 185 | 19 | 41 | 3 | 3 | .247 | .321 | .343 | .664 |
| 2025 | 266 | 31 | 53 | 7 | 4 | .230 | .323 | .383 | .706 |
| 2026 | 246 | 31 | 69 | 4 | 9 | .312 | .368 | .439 | .807 |
| 3 Seasons | 697 | 81 | 163 | 14 | 16 | .264 | .338 | .392 | .730 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
80
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.275 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.360 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.321 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
xwOBA
0.289
0.304
0.321
0.338
0.353
wOBA
0.344
0.363
0.383
0.403
0.422
ISO
0.097
0.113
0.131
0.148
0.164
K%
21.2%
22.7%
24.4%
26.0%
27.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
44
Exit velocity90.4
79
Hard-hit%48.6%
87
+35 vs proj
xBA0.409
98
xSLG0.617
80
xwOBA0.360
89
+56 vs proj
BB%6.2%
21
-19 vs proj
Bat speed70.1
55
K%22.1%
51
+27 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.6 · 3B
7
Arm Strength95.6 · 3B
96
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 3B
18
Range Runs-4.7 · 3B
12
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.0 · 3B
88
Bolts3.0 · 3B
42
SB Success Rate80.0% · 3B
45
Sprint Speed28.3 · 3B
77
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.1% · rebadged research
38
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.0% · rebadged research
84
Correct Decisions70.4% · rebadged research
88
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
45
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
29
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286 · validated thin sample
35
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
74
Resists FastballwOBA 0.357 · validated
18
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.344 · validated
85
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
57
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
116 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.069 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.092 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Alexander’s wOBA sits at 0.383, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.360 — a gap of 0.023, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 258 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arozarena, Randy SEA · R | 0.68 | Max exit velocityStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Benge, Carson NYM · L | 0.58 | Strikeout rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R | 0.53 | Whiff rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| García, Adolis PHI · R | 0.51 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-06-21 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.291 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-20 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 3 K, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-15 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K, SB |
| 2026-04-14 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |