Mithrandir Metrics
Player Seattle Mariners Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Seattle Mariners

Carlos Vargas

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 4", 210 lb · Age 26

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Seattle Mariners Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2023005.795004.271.93
2025553.97700177.0541.35
2026205.19150017.1171.10
3 Seasons754.27900199.0781.33
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
68
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
60
Arsenal4 metrics
66
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason3.60
ERA current pace3.77
ERA rolling p503.64
Observed weight27%
ERA
1.76 2.65 3.64 4.63 5.52
FIP
2.67 3.19 3.78 4.37 4.89
K%
14.5% 17.1% 20.0% 23.0% 25.6%
BB%
3.5% 5.0% 6.7% 8.4% 10.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.02
92
ERA3.77
59
BB%4.6%
98 +21 vs proj
K%23.0%
57 +29 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.324
35
Barrel allowed8.6%
32 -26 vs proj
Fastball velo96.2
77
Hard-hit allowed34.5%
79
Whiff%17.6%
11 -19 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Cutter Stuff+106
89
Mithrandir Stuff+105
74
Sinker Stuff+98
24
Slider Stuff+105
78
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

3 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Vargas, Carlos · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.324 2026-09-24: 0.3242026-09-25: 0.3242026-09-26: 0.324 2026-09-24 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 47%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Vargas, Carlos · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 52%52%Whiff: 18%18%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 53%53%Hard hit allowed: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Vargas, Carlos · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 46.6%Slider: 30.0%Cutter: 22.8%4-Seam Fastball: 0.6% SI47% · 96 mphprimary pitch SI 47%SL 30%FC 23%FF 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Vargas, Carlos · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ Sinker: 47% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 96.2 mphSI96 mphSlider: 30% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 88.6 mphSL89 mphCutter: 23% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 93.6 mphFC94 mph4-Seam Fastball: 1% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 97.2 mphFF97 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 46.8% 108 98 limited sample
SL 32.0% 74 105 limited sample
FC 20.3% 47 106 limited sample
CH 0.9% 2 134 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 4"
Weight210 lb
Debut2023-03-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.19
K% Δ+0.042
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202618.8% K | 3.96 ERAProjection
2026-03-23 @ SD0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-03-20 @ CLE0 ER / 2 K1.1 IP
2026-03-11 vs COL0 ER / 1 K0.1 IP