Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 8" |
| Weight | 245 lb |
| Debut | 2020-09-12 |
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays
Alejandro Kirk
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 8", 245 lb · Age 27
Club Toronto Blue Jays
Position C
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 386 | 23 | 86 | 5 | 0 | .253 | .319 | .359 | .678 |
| 2025 | 506 | 45 | 127 | 15 | 1 | .282 | .348 | .421 | .769 |
| 2026 | 99 | 8 | 18 | 2 | 0 | .202 | .273 | .315 | .588 |
| 7 Seasons | 2168 | 192 | 507 | 53 | 1 | .265 | .341 | .395 | .736 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
19
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.346 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.263 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.318 |
| Observed weight | 34% |
xwOBA
0.291
0.304
0.318
0.332
0.345
wOBA
0.264
0.290
0.320
0.349
0.376
ISO
0.104
0.121
0.141
0.161
0.178
K%
10.8%
12.2%
13.7%
15.3%
16.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.8%
10
-55 vs proj
Exit velocity87.0
35
Hard-hit%37.6%
45
-26 vs proj
xBA0.257
7
xSLG0.359
5
xwOBA0.263
12
-68 vs proj
BB%9.7%
64
Bat speed68.9
39
K%15.0%
86
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.8 · C
96
Catcher Throwing-0.4 · C
38
Framing Runs2.6 · C
77
Pop Time2.0 · C
10
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed22.9 · C
0
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.0% · rebadged research
37
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.5% · rebadged research
28
Correct Decisions63.2% · rebadged research
22
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · borderline
71
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.287 · insufficient sample
25
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
44
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · insufficient sample
85
Resists FastballwOBA 0.350 · validated
28
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
56
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
28
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
41 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.080 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.023 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Kirk’s wOBA sits at 0.320, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.263 — a gap of 0.057, -1.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 113 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2025-10-29 | Passive in-zone decisions capped the overall score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.343 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-03 @ CWS0 HR | 1 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, RBI |
| 2026-04-01 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 13 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 |
| 2026-03-30 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-03-27 vs ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 15 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |