Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 172 lb |
| Debut | 2022-05-30 |
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays
Josh Smith
2B · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 9", 172 lb · Age 29
Club Toronto Blue Jays
Position 2B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 592 | 67 | 135 | 13 | 11 | .258 | .337 | .394 | .731 |
| 2025 | 563 | 70 | 124 | 10 | 12 | .251 | .335 | .366 | .701 |
| 2026 | 238 | 23 | 42 | 6 | 4 | .203 | .292 | .319 | .611 |
| 5 Seasons | 1878 | 212 | 379 | 37 | 32 | .232 | .323 | .349 | .672 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
22
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.319 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.277 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.297 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
xwOBA
0.273
0.284
0.297
0.309
0.320
wOBA
0.274
0.291
0.311
0.330
0.348
ISO
0.104
0.117
0.132
0.147
0.161
K%
19.7%
21.0%
22.4%
23.9%
25.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.9%
34
Exit velocity84.4
15
Hard-hit%31.5%
21
xBA0.277
12
xSLG0.436
26
xwOBA0.277
24
-45 vs proj
BB%10.9%
78
+24 vs proj
Bat speed66.1
12
K%23.6%
47
-23 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.4 · 2B
87
Arm Strength83.7 · 2B
23
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
47
Range Runs-1.6 · 2B
38
Baserunning · percentile strip
SB Success Rate80.0% · 2B
48
Sprint Speed27.9 · 2B
61
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.5% · rebadged research
56
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8% · rebadged research
65
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
55
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · borderline
26
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
15
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.258 · validated thin sample
91
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · insufficient sample
20
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320 · validated
83
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.335 · validated
87
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
63
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
125 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.043 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.010 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Smith’s wOBA sits at 0.311, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.277 — a gap of 0.033, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 258 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 15 | 2026-09-23 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.214 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.321 xwOBA | 12 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-17 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | HBP, 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-14 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-13 @ ATH0 HR | 2 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, 2 RBI, R |