Mithrandir Metrics
Player Los Angeles Dodgers Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Los Angeles Dodgers

Will Smith

C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 195 lb · Age 31

Cards
13
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Los Angeles Dodgers Position C Roster Injured 10-Day Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202454477118201.248.327.433.760
202543664107172.296.404.497.901
2026201234360.249.338.382.720
8 Seasons314743670413412.263.357.470.827
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
79
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
72
Defense4 metrics
48
Speed1 metrics
44
Plate skills10 metrics
63
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.342
xwOBA current pace0.385
xwOBA rolling p500.363
Observed weight49%
xwOBA
0.332 0.347 0.363 0.380 0.395
wOBA
0.295 0.314 0.336 0.358 0.378
ISO
0.118 0.133 0.149 0.166 0.180
K%
17.2% 18.4% 19.9% 21.3% 22.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.4%
93 +16 vs proj
Exit velocity90.1
75
Hard-hit%40.1%
54
xBA0.343
72
xSLG0.615
80
xwOBA0.385
97
BB%10.8%
75
Bat speed68.5
35
K%18.9%
70
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.8 · C
84
Catcher Throwing-0.5 · C
35
Framing Runs-0.9 · C
34
Pop Time2.0 · C
41
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.2 · C
44
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.3% · rebadged research
91
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.1% · rebadged research
51
Correct Decisions70.2% · rebadged research
86
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
45
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
61
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.295 · validated thin sample
17
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.312 · insufficient sample
92
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352 · validated
25
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
70
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
87
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Smith, Will · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.385 2026-07-05: 0.3852026-07-06: 0.3852026-07-07: 0.3852026-07-08: 0.3852026-07-09: 0.3852026-07-10: 0.3852026-07-11: 0.3852026-07-12: 0.3852026-07-13: 0.3852026-07-14: 0.3852026-07-15: 0.3852026-07-16: 0.385 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

140 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Smith, Will · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsPull 10%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 22% of plotted batted ballsOppo 22% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-03-20 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 63.02026-03-20 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 106.8 / LA 17.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -27.02026-03-22 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 7.02026-03-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 76.2 / LA 37.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 11.02026-03-26 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 104.8 / LA 28.02026-03-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.1 / LA 0.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.5 / LA 17.02026-03-27 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -9.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA -14.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · popup · EV 68.2 / LA 55.02026-03-28 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 26.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -34.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 94.0 / LA 20.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 49.02026-03-31 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 95.0 / LA 23.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 107.8 / LA 17.02026-03-31 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 82.5 / LA 15.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 26.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 54.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 28.02026-04-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 68.4 / LA 3.02026-04-03 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 102.9 / LA 15.02026-04-04 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 72.3 / LA 28.02026-04-04 · field out · ST · popup · EV 80.2 / LA 69.02026-04-04 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 78.9 / LA 22.02026-04-04 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 61.5 / LA -48.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 41.02026-04-07 · force out · FS · ground_ball · EV 74.5 / LA -31.02026-04-07 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.7 / LA 37.02026-04-07 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 26.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 32.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · popup · EV 85.9 / LA 60.02026-04-08 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 56.3 / LA -46.02026-04-08 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 84.9 / LA 14.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · popup · EV 93.6 / LA 66.02026-04-10 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.5 / LA -19.02026-04-10 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA -11.02026-04-11 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 110.8 / LA 11.02026-04-11 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.3 / LA -4.02026-04-13 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 0.02026-04-13 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 14.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.5 / LA 44.02026-04-14 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 93.7 / LA 17.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · popup · EV 96.5 / LA 70.02026-04-15 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 80.0 / LA 17.02026-04-15 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 7.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 39.02026-04-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 59.1 / LA -55.02026-04-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 87.0 / LA 32.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 75.5 / LA 47.02026-04-17 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 29.02026-04-17 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 76.8 / LA 29.02026-04-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.0 / LA 7.02026-04-18 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.2 / LA -9.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 78.6 / LA 57.02026-04-19 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 82.3 / LA 30.02026-04-19 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 36.02026-04-19 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 4.02026-04-20 · fielders choice · CU · ground_ball · EV 79.4 / LA -5.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 58.02026-04-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 47.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 28.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.0 / LA 19.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 7.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -15.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 55.02026-04-24 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 25.02026-04-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 49.02026-04-27 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 53.4 / LA 37.02026-04-27 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 32.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 32.02026-04-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 68.8 / LA -11.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 37.02026-04-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.4 / LA 11.02026-04-28 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA 9.02026-04-28 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 75.9 / LA 19.02026-04-29 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 94.2 / LA 20.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 79.2 / LA 12.02026-05-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 16.02026-05-02 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA 3.02026-05-02 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.0 / LA -5.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 107.3 / LA 17.02026-05-04 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 87.1 / LA 17.02026-05-04 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 36.02026-05-04 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 21.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 22.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 39.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.7 / LA -1.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 16.02026-05-08 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 77.3 / LA 26.02026-05-08 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 50.02026-05-09 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 19.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 41.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 42.02026-05-11 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -5.02026-05-11 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 102.0 / LA 18.02026-05-11 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 80.4 / LA 23.02026-05-12 · sac fly · SI · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 21.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 80.4 / LA 28.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · popup · EV 88.6 / LA 58.02026-05-13 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 84.1 / LA 40.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -2.02026-05-13 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 11.02026-05-14 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 33.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -1.02026-05-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.2 / LA 3.02026-05-15 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 73.1 / LA 39.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 105.4 / LA 21.02026-05-16 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 23.02026-05-16 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 2.02026-05-18 · field out · ST · popup · EV 64.3 / LA 66.02026-05-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 30.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.5 / LA 28.02026-05-19 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 36.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 76.5 / LA 38.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.9 / LA 58.02026-05-20 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 82.7 / LA 10.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 20.02026-05-20 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 11.02026-05-20 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -14.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 30.02026-05-23 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 7.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 95.0 / LA 18.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 40.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 33.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 55.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 79.0 / LA 45.02026-05-26 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA 4.02026-05-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 49.02026-05-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.9 / LA 23.02026-05-26 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 103.8 / LA 13.02026-05-27 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 14.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 33.02026-06-01 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 12.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 23.02026-06-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA -4.02026-06-04 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 95.7 / LA 13.02026-06-04 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.0 / LA -5.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Smith, Will · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 22%22%Whiff: 15%15%Zone contact: 91%91%Contact: 85%85%Hard hit: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Smith, Will · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 69.5 mph Hard swing rate 2% Whiff / swing 13% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height5' 10"
Weight195 lb
Debut2019-05-28
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.039
wOBA Δ-0.010

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.5σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.336
xwOBA (deserved)0.385

Smith’s wOBA sits at 0.336, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.385 — a gap of 0.049, 1.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 212 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

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Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting132026-05-26Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.346 xwOBA | 19 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E1-4
2026-04-20 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E0-5 | K
2026-04-17 @ COL0 HR | 2 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E2-4 | K, 2 RBI, R
2026-04-15 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 14 Ch | 0 E1-5
2026-04-14 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2B, 2 K