Mithrandir Metrics
Player LAD Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / LAD

Kyle Hurt

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 240 lb · Age 28

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club LAD Position -- Roster profile Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2023000.001002.030.00
2024011.353106.231.35
2026414.14441145.2581.34
3 Seasons423.64482154.1641.29
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
54
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
59
Arsenal4 metrics
70
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason2.92
ERA current pace4.33
ERA rolling p503.57
Observed weight46%
ERA
1.95 2.72 3.57 4.42 5.19
FIP
1.51 2.42 3.43 4.45 5.36
K%
19.0% 21.4% 24.1% 26.7% 29.1%
BB%
5.9% 7.0% 8.4% 9.7% 10.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.33
51
ERA4.33
42
BB%11.8%
20 -41 vs proj
K%28.4%
88 +35 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.299
69 +37 vs proj
Barrel allowed7.5%
48
Fastball velo96.6
82
Hard-hit allowed40.0%
39
Whiff%31.4%
95 +55 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Fastball Stuff+103
59
Mithrandir Stuff+104
71
Changeup Stuff+109
94
Slider Stuff+103
58
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Hurt, Kyle · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.299 2026-09-12: 0.3022026-09-13: 0.3022026-09-14: 0.3022026-09-18: 0.3022026-09-19: 0.3022026-09-20: 0.3022026-09-21: 0.3022026-09-22: 0.3022026-09-23: 0.2992026-09-24: 0.2992026-09-25: 0.2992026-09-26: 0.299 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 56%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Hurt, Kyle · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 31%31%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Hurt, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 55.7%Changeup: 35.0%Slider: 9.3% FF56% · 97 mphprimary pitch FF 56%CH 35%SL 9% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Hurt, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ 4-Seam Fastball: 56% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 96.6 mphFF97 mphChangeup: 35% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 88.7 mphCH89 mphSlider: 9% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 88.0 mphSL88 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 55.6% 290 103 qualified
CH 36.4% 190 109 limited sample
SL 8.0% 42 103 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.77
K% Δ+0.059

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.7σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.323
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.299

Hurt’s wOBA-against sits at 0.323, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.299 — a gap of 0.024, 0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 47 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching12026-07-10Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/CH tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.6% K | 3.56 ERAProjection