Mithrandir Metrics
Player Texas Rangers Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Texas Rangers

MacKenzie Gore

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 193 lb · Age 27

Cards
21
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Texas Rangers Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
202410123.9032320166.11811.42
20255154.1730300159.21851.35
2026584.6320200105.01151.29
5 Seasons31494.261251220637.17041.38
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
53
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
48
Arsenal7 metrics
40
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
ERA preseason4.01
ERA current pace4.63
ERA rolling p504.42
Observed weight67%
ERA
3.25 3.81 4.42 5.04 5.60
FIP
3.09 3.39 3.73 4.06 4.36
K%
23.0% 24.1% 25.3% 26.5% 27.6%
BB%
7.7% 8.3% 9.0% 9.7% 10.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.26
60
ERA4.63
33
BB%9.2%
42
K%25.2%
69
xwOBA allowed0.306
59
Barrel allowed8.3%
40
Fastball velo95.4
66
Hard-hit allowed45.2%
12
Whiff%23.4%
53 -22 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-17
Curveball Stuff+102
56
Fastball Stuff+105
74
Mithrandir Stuff+102
50
Changeup Stuff+98
23
Cutter Stuff+100
31
Sinker Stuff+96
14
Slider Stuff+99
33
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Gore, MacKenzie · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.306 2026-07-06: 0.3052026-07-07: 0.3052026-07-08: 0.3052026-07-09: 0.3052026-07-10: 0.3092026-07-11: 0.3092026-07-12: 0.3092026-07-13: 0.3092026-07-14: 0.3062026-07-15: 0.3062026-07-16: 0.3062026-07-17: 0.306 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 45%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Gore, MacKenzie · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Gore, MacKenzie · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 44.8%Curveball: 21.4%Changeup: 11.0%Cutter: 9.0%Slider: 9.0%Sinker: 4.9% FF45% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 45%CU 21%CH 11%FC 9%SL 9%SI 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Gore, MacKenzie · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 45% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 95.5 mphFF95 mphCurveball: 21% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 52″ drop, 81.8 mphCU82 mphChangeup: 11% usage, 14″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 86.7 mphCH87 mphCutter: 9% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 90.0 mphFC90 mphSlider: 9% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 85.7 mphSL86 mphSinker: 5% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 95.2 mphSI95 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 44.6% 555 105 qualified
CB 21.0% 261 102 qualified
CH 11.5% 143 98 limited sample
SL 9.1% 113 99 limited sample
FC 8.8% 109 100 limited sample
SI 5.1% 63 96 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 2"
Weight193 lb
Debut2022-04-15
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.64
K% Δ-0.005

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.0σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.332
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.306

Gore’s wOBA-against sits at 0.332, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.306 — a gap of 0.027, 1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 113 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching212026-07-12Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/CU tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202625.7% K | 3.99 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 @ ATH2 ER / 5 K4.2 IP
2026-04-08 vs SEA0 ER / 9 K5.0 IP
2026-04-03 vs CIN3 ER / 9 K6.0 IP
2026-03-29 @ PHI2 ER / 7 K5.1 IP