Mithrandir Metrics
Player Texas Rangers Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Texas Rangers

MacKenzie Gore

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 193 lb · Age 27

Cards
33
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Texas Rangers Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
202410123.9032320166.11811.42
20255154.1730300159.21851.35
20268114.5933330170.21741.34
5 Seasons34524.291381350703.07631.39
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
48
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
47
Arsenal7 metrics
36
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason4.01
ERA current pace4.67
ERA rolling p504.51
Observed weight76%
ERA
3.26 3.85 4.51 5.18 5.77
FIP
3.17 3.48 3.83 4.18 4.50
K%
22.1% 23.0% 24.0% 24.9% 25.8%
BB%
8.1% 8.7% 9.3% 9.9% 10.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.33
51
ERA4.67
34
BB%9.4%
44
K%23.3%
60
xwOBA allowed0.311
51
Barrel allowed8.4%
35
Fastball velo95.2
62
Hard-hit allowed41.5%
29
Whiff%23.2%
54 -25 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Changeup Stuff+99
31
Curveball Stuff+102
48
Fastball Stuff+103
57
Mithrandir Stuff+101
39
Cutter Stuff+98
22
Sinker Stuff+97
19
Slider Stuff+100
38
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Gore, MacKenzie · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.311 2026-09-12: 0.3092026-09-13: 0.3092026-09-14: 0.3092026-09-18: 0.3112026-09-19: 0.3112026-09-20: 0.3112026-09-21: 0.3112026-09-22: 0.3112026-09-23: 0.3112026-09-24: 0.3112026-09-25: 0.3112026-09-26: 0.311 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 47%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Gore, MacKenzie · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Gore, MacKenzie · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 47.2%Curveball: 18.3%Changeup: 13.0%Slider: 9.9%Cutter: 6.4%Sinker: 5.2% FF47% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 47%CU 18%CH 13%SL 10%FC 6%SI 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Gore, MacKenzie · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 47% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 95.2 mphFF95 mphCurveball: 18% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 53″ drop, 81.5 mphCU82 mphChangeup: 13% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 86.2 mphCH86 mphSlider: 10% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 85.6 mphSL86 mphCutter: 6% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 89.9 mphFC90 mphSinker: 5% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 95.1 mphSI95 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 47.0% 908 103 qualified
CB 18.6% 360 102 qualified
CH 13.9% 268 99 qualified
SL 9.2% 178 100 limited sample
FC 6.1% 118 98 limited sample
SI 5.2% 101 97 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 2"
Weight193 lb
Debut2022-04-15
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.68
K% Δ-0.024

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.9σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.334
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.311

Gore’s wOBA-against sits at 0.334, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.311 — a gap of 0.022, 0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 179 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching332026-09-22Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/CU tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202625.7% K | 3.99 ERAProjection
2026-08-15 @ ATH3 ER / 5 K5.2 IP
2026-04-14 @ ATH2 ER / 5 K4.2 IP
2026-04-08 vs SEA0 ER / 9 K5.0 IP
2026-04-03 vs CIN3 ER / 9 K6.0 IP
2026-03-29 @ PHI2 ER / 7 K5.1 IP