Mithrandir Metrics
Player Syracuse Mets Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Syracuse Mets

Tobias Myers

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 223 lb · Age 27

Cards
4
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Syracuse Mets Position P Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024963.0027250138.01271.17
2025123.55226050.2381.36
2026014.05202133.1261.08
3 Seasons1093.2869331222.01911.20
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
61
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
48
Arsenal4 metrics
58
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-14
ERA preseason3.90
ERA current pace4.05
ERA rolling p503.96
Observed weight38%
ERA
3.03 3.47 3.96 4.45 4.89
FIP
3.90 4.15 4.42 4.70 4.94
K%
17.9% 19.3% 20.9% 22.5% 24.0%
BB%
5.0% 5.8% 6.7% 7.6% 8.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.13
74
ERA4.05
45
BB%6.7%
76
K%20.8%
37
xwOBA allowed0.291
71 +39 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.6%
66 +27 vs proj
Fastball velo92.6
24
Hard-hit allowed43.4%
26
Whiff%17.6%
10
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-14
Fastball Stuff+111
96
Cutter Stuff+100
31
Mithrandir Stuff+107
86
Slider Stuff+97
21
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Myers, Tobias · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.291 2026-06-03: 0.2912026-06-04: 0.2912026-06-05: 0.2912026-06-06: 0.2912026-06-07: 0.2912026-06-08: 0.2912026-06-09: 0.2912026-06-10: 0.2912026-06-11: 0.2912026-06-12: 0.2912026-06-13: 0.2912026-06-14: 0.291 2026-06-03 2026-06-14 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 50%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Myers, Tobias · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 34%34%Zone: 52%52%Whiff: 18%18%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 42%42%Hard hit allowed: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Myers, Tobias · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 50.2%Split-Finger: 22.2%Slider: 16.0%Cutter: 11.6% FF50% · 93 mphprimary pitch FF 50%FS 22%SL 16%FC 12% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Myers, Tobias · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 50% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 92.6 mphFF93 mphSplit-Finger: 22% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 79.9 mphFS80 mphSlider: 16% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 81.6 mphSL82 mphCutter: 12% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 86.6 mphFC87 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 65.1% 229 111 qualified
SL 20.5% 72 97 limited sample
FC 14.5% 51 100 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 1"
Weight223 lb
Debut2024-04-23
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.40
K% Δ+0.002

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.5σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.346
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.291

Myers’s wOBA-against sits at 0.346, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.291 — a gap of 0.055, 1.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 36 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching42026-05-22Stuff and strike quality carried the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.6% K | 4.45 ERAProjection
2026-04-15 @ LAD1 ER / 2 K2.0 IP
2026-04-04 @ SF0 ER / 1 K2.0 IP
2026-04-01 @ STL0 ER / 1 K1.2 IP
2026-03-30 @ STL0 ER / 3 K1.1 IP
2026-03-26 vs PIT1 ER / 1 K3.0 IP