Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Graham Ashcraft

P · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 248 lb · Age 28

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position P Roster Injured 60-Day Status IL-60
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024555.241515077.1571.50
2025853.99620065.1641.42
2026113.33260127.0321.22
5 Seasons26264.67148601420.13351.41
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
58
Pitching
percentile
Pitching8 metrics
56
Arsenal3 metrics
55
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-14
ERA preseason4.21
ERA current pace3.33
ERA rolling p503.92
Observed weight33%
ERA
2.16 2.99 3.92 4.84 5.67
FIP
2.35 2.95 3.61 4.27 4.87
K%
19.3% 21.7% 24.3% 26.9% 29.2%
BB%
8.2% 9.4% 10.9% 12.3% 13.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.26
56
ERA3.33
62
BB%14.3%
7 -44 vs proj
K%30.3%
92 +49 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.287
75 +28 vs proj
Barrel allowed8.5%
40
Hard-hit allowed44.1%
21
Whiff%30.9%
92 +29 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-14
Cutter Stuff+98
15
Slider Stuff+108
89
Mithrandir Stuff+103
61
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Ashcraft, Graham · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.287 2026-06-03: 0.2872026-06-04: 0.2872026-06-05: 0.2872026-06-06: 0.2872026-06-07: 0.2872026-06-08: 0.2872026-06-09: 0.2872026-06-10: 0.2872026-06-11: 0.2872026-06-12: 0.2872026-06-13: 0.2872026-06-14: 0.287 2026-06-03 2026-06-14 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

2Pitches 2026Season 51%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Ashcraft, Graham · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 31%31%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 44%44% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Ashcraft, Graham · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 51.1%Slider: 48.9% FC51% · 98 mphprimary pitch FC 51%SL 49% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Ashcraft, Graham · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ Cutter: 51% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 98.0 mphFC98 mphSlider: 49% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 90.6 mphSL91 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 51.3% 231 98 qualified
SL 48.7% 219 108 qualified
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height6' 2"
Weight248 lb
Debut2022-05-22
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.97
K% Δ+0.088
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.5% K | 4.30 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 @ PHI0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-17 @ MIN0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-15 vs SF0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 vs SF0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-11 vs LAA0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP