Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 226 lb |
| Debut | 2021-09-18 |
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays
Ryan Vilade
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 226 lb · Age 27
Club Tampa Bay Rays
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | .178 | .208 | .244 | .452 |
| 2025 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .077 | .200 | .077 | .277 |
| 2026 | 164 | 16 | 37 | 7 | 3 | .255 | .319 | .455 | .774 |
| 4 Seasons | 235 | 22 | 46 | 8 | 3 | .220 | .283 | .373 | .656 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
48
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.280 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.310 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.294 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
xwOBA
0.257
0.275
0.294
0.313
0.330
wOBA
0.352
0.374
0.399
0.424
0.447
ISO
0.142
0.169
0.199
0.229
0.256
K%
16.7%
19.4%
22.4%
25.4%
28.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.0%
34
-34 vs proj
Exit velocity88.4
53
Hard-hit%39.3%
51
xBA0.313
39
xSLG0.532
58
xwOBA0.310
54
BB%8.0%
43
+17 vs proj
Bat speed74.6
97
K%20.0%
65
+44 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.5 · RF
64
Arm Strength91.3 · RF
33
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
46
Range Runs-3.0 · RF
19
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.5 · RF
82
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.6% · rebadged research
61
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.4% · rebadged research
22
Correct Decisions67.1% · rebadged research
60
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
19
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.298 · insufficient sample
11
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.316 · validated thin sample
3
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.361 · insufficient sample
8
Resists FastballwOBA 0.334 · validated
63
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.347 · validated
80
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
44
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
91 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.008 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.097 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Vilade’s wOBA sits at 0.399, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.310 — a gap of 0.089, -2.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 175 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-05-18 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.302 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 BB, R, SB |
| 2026-04-17 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-15 @ CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-14 @ CWS0 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 | 2B, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-11 vs NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 |