Mithrandir Metrics
Player Toronto Blue Jays Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays

Tommy Nance

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Toronto Blue Jays Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status IL-15
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.60
ERA current pace3.86
ERA rolling p503.67
Observed weight26%
ERA
2.03 2.81 3.67 4.53 5.30
FIP
2.70 2.90 3.13 3.36 3.56
K%
17.9% 20.5% 23.4% 26.2% 28.8%
BB%
5.3% 6.7% 8.3% 9.9% 11.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%9.3%
40
Barrel allowed3.8%
90 +49 vs proj
Fastball velo94.7
57
Hard-hit allowed34.6%
77
K%29.1%
88 +46 vs proj
Whiff%24.8%
63 +34 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.292
69 +33 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+102
54
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Nance, Tommy · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.2932026-05-19: 0.2932026-05-21: 0.2922026-05-23: 0.2922026-05-24: 0.2922026-05-25: 0.2922026-05-26: 0.2922026-05-28: 0.2922026-05-29: 0.2922026-05-30: 0.2922026-05-31: 0.2922026-06-01: 0.292 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 36%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Nance, Tommy · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 33%33%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 22%22%First pitch strike: 58%58%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Nance, Tommy · 2026 arsenal snapshot Curveball: 36.4%Slider: 33.8%Sinker: 29.9% MIX CU 36%SL 34%SI 30% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Nance, Tommy · 2026 arsenal snapshot CU: HB 0.5, IVB 4.4CUSL: HB 0.0, IVB 2.9SLSI: HB 0.0, IVB 1.7SI horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CB 36.4% 112 102 limited sample
SL 33.8% 104 107 limited sample
SI 29.9% 92 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age35
Height6' 6"
Weight235 lb
Debut2021-05-17
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.46
K% Δ+0.079
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.2% K | 4.32 ERAProjection
2026-04-12 vs MIN0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-06 vs LAD4 ER / 3 K1.1 IP
2026-04-04 @ CWS0 ER / 1 K1.2 IP
2026-04-01 vs COL1 ER / 1 K0.1 IP
2026-03-29 vs ATH0 ER / 1 K0.2 IP