Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2024-07-20 |
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles
Carlos Narváez
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 190 lb · Age 27
Club Baltimore Orioles
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .333 | .231 | .564 |
| 2025 | 446 | 51 | 97 | 15 | 1 | .241 | .306 | .419 | .725 |
| 2026 | 285 | 22 | 40 | 3 | 2 | .161 | .241 | .226 | .467 |
| 3 Seasons | 746 | 73 | 140 | 18 | 3 | .211 | .282 | .343 | .625 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
34
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.307 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.260 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.280 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.252
0.265
0.280
0.294
0.307
wOBA
0.217
0.232
0.249
0.265
0.280
ISO
0.078
0.092
0.107
0.122
0.136
K%
26.6%
27.8%
29.2%
30.7%
31.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.0%
36
-23 vs proj
Exit velocity86.7
37
Hard-hit%36.9%
43
-36 vs proj
xBA0.300
29
xSLG0.476
43
xwOBA0.260
14
-30 vs proj
BB%6.6%
29
-20 vs proj
Bat speed69.0
42
K%31.1%
13
-23 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs3.3 · C
99
Catcher Throwing-0.2 · C
50
Framing Runs2.2 · C
74
Pop Time2.0 · C
36
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.3 · C
8
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.4% · rebadged research
39
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.3% · rebadged research
29
Correct Decisions66.4% · rebadged research
52
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.263 · borderline
92
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
15
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
66
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
33
Resists FastballwOBA 0.279 · validated
100
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.339 · validated
83
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
131 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.037 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.048 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Narváez’s wOBA sits at 0.249, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.260 — a gap of 0.011, 0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 302 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.297 xwOBA | 13 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 1 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-05-20 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-20 vs DET0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | 2B, BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-14 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 4 K |
| 2026-04-13 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 3 K |