Mithrandir Metrics
Player Washington Nationals Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Washington Nationals

Andrés Chaparro

1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 200 lb · Age 27

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Washington Nationals Position 1B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024132122641.215.280.413.693
20257341210.182.247.258.505
2026374500.172.351.276.627
3 Seasons242204351.199.281.347.628
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-15
66
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
71
Defense1 metrics
70
Speed1 metrics
6
Plate skills10 metrics
48
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-15
xwOBA preseason0.305
xwOBA current pace0.371
xwOBA rolling p500.318
Observed weight20%
xwOBA
0.255 0.285 0.318 0.351 0.381
wOBA
0.289 0.329 0.373 0.417 0.457
ISO
0.085 0.117 0.152 0.187 0.219
K%
13.3% 16.0% 19.1% 22.2% 24.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-15
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.6%
28 -18 vs proj
Exit velocity91.9
90
Hard-hit%47.1%
82 +47 vs proj
xBA0.318
45
xSLG0.542
59
xwOBA0.371
91 +36 vs proj
BB%18.2%
99 +68 vs proj
Bat speed71.9
80
K%20.0%
62 +24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 1B
70
Range Runs0.5 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.0 · 1B
6
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-06-15
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.4% · rebadged research
43
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.7% · rebadged research
80
Correct Decisions63.9% · rebadged research
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
46
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
53
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
44
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
43
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
45
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
41
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
59
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

5 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Chaparro, Andrés · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.312 0.371 2026-06-11: 0.3812026-06-12: 0.3762026-06-13: 0.3762026-06-14: 0.3762026-06-15: 0.371 2026-06-11 2026-06-15 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

28 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Chaparro, Andrés · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsPull 14%Center field third: 82% of plotted batted ballsCenter 82%Right field third: 4% of plotted batted ballsOppo 4% LF 337 CF 402 RF 335 2026-03-15 · fielders choice out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 4.02026-03-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.9 / LA -8.02026-03-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 42.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -26.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA -12.02026-03-20 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 106.6 / LA 20.02026-03-21 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 37.02026-03-21 · field out · SI · popup · EV 91.7 / LA 66.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.0 / LA -21.02026-03-21 · field out · CU · popup · EV 72.6 / LA 72.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.9 / LA 2.02026-03-23 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 88.3 / LA 25.02026-03-26 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 72.1 / LA 33.02026-03-26 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 103.8 / LA 16.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 28.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 32.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.3 / LA -12.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 5.02026-04-25 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 28.02026-05-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 0.02026-05-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA -26.02026-05-21 · field out · CU · popup · EV 65.4 / LA 54.02026-05-24 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 82.3 / LA 27.02026-05-26 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 75.5 / LA 24.02026-05-26 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.1 / LA 10.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 76.1 / LA 37.02026-05-26 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 68.9 / LA -51.02026-05-31 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA 2.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Chaparro, Andrés · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 39%39%Chase: 27%27%Whiff: 26%26%Zone contact: 77%77%Contact: 74%74%Hard hit: 47%47% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 0"
Weight200 lb
Debut2024-08-13
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.056
wOBA Δ+0.059
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-03-26Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.314 xwOBA | 7 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1 | BB, R
2026-03-29 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-3 | 2 K
2026-03-26 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E2-3 | 2B, R