Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 230 lb |
| Debut | 2023-05-04 |
Player profile / Chicago Cubs
Miguel Amaya
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 230 lb · Age 27
Club Chicago Cubs
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 363 | 32 | 76 | 8 | 0 | .232 | .288 | .357 | .645 |
| 2025 | 103 | 14 | 27 | 4 | 0 | .281 | .314 | .500 | .814 |
| 2026 | 250 | 35 | 49 | 6 | 0 | .232 | .337 | .370 | .707 |
| 4 Seasons | 872 | 98 | 180 | 23 | 0 | .235 | .312 | .379 | .691 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
41
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.312 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.292 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.301 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
xwOBA
0.275
0.287
0.301
0.315
0.327
wOBA
0.331
0.349
0.369
0.389
0.406
ISO
0.122
0.138
0.155
0.173
0.189
K%
18.8%
20.4%
22.1%
23.9%
25.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.2%
56
+26 vs proj
Exit velocity87.8
49
Hard-hit%36.8%
43
xBA0.294
21
xSLG0.476
42
xwOBA0.292
36
-16 vs proj
BB%8.6%
52
+25 vs proj
Bat speed67.9
28
K%26.1%
32
-43 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.5 · C
36
Catcher Throwing-0.1 · C
53
Framing Runs0.3 · C
58
Pop Time1.9 · C
57
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.4 · C
9
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7% · rebadged research
57
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.2% · rebadged research
61
Correct Decisions66.8% · rebadged research
57
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
38
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
68
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
49
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
42
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
40
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.380 · validated
12
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
117 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.012 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.065 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Amaya’s wOBA sits at 0.369, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.292 — a gap of 0.077, -2.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 268 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-03-20 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 6 | 2026-09-20 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.218 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.304 xwOBA | 8 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 |
| 2026-05-20 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-20 vs PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | R |
| 2026-04-14 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | BB, R |