Mithrandir Metrics
Player Detroit Tigers Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Detroit Tigers

Framber Valdez

P · Bats/Throws R/L · 5' 11", 230 lb · Age 32

Cards
18
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Detroit Tigers Position P Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
20241572.9128280176.11691.11
202513113.6631310192.01871.24
2026564.1019190107.2871.32
9 Seasons86583.4320718501188.111401.21
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
48
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
45
Arsenal6 metrics
42
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
ERA preseason3.68
ERA current pace4.10
ERA rolling p503.97
Observed weight68%
ERA
3.07 3.49 3.97 4.44 4.87
FIP
3.20 3.43 3.68 3.94 4.16
K%
17.6% 18.6% 19.7% 20.8% 21.8%
BB%
6.3% 6.9% 7.5% 8.2% 8.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.31
52
ERA4.10
48
BB%7.4%
69
K%18.4%
22 -24 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.317
47
Barrel allowed6.3%
73 +21 vs proj
Fastball velo93.9
42
Hard-hit allowed42.2%
29
Whiff%19.4%
20 -32 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-17
Changeup Stuff+104
65
Curveball Stuff+103
67
Mithrandir Stuff+103
59
Sinker Stuff+103
57
Fastball Stuff+90
4
Slider Stuff+89
2
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Valdez, Framber · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.317 2026-07-06: 0.3242026-07-07: 0.3242026-07-08: 0.3242026-07-09: 0.3242026-07-10: 0.3242026-07-11: 0.3172026-07-12: 0.3172026-07-13: 0.3172026-07-14: 0.3172026-07-15: 0.3172026-07-16: 0.3172026-07-17: 0.317 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 46%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Valdez, Framber · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 19%19%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Valdez, Framber · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 45.9%Curveball: 27.7%Changeup: 19.9%Slider: 4.6%4-Seam Fastball: 2.0% SI46% · 94 mphprimary pitch SI 46%CU 28%CH 20%SL 5%FF 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Valdez, Framber · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Sinker: 46% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 93.9 mphSI94 mphCurveball: 28% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 59″ drop, 78.6 mphCU79 mphChangeup: 20% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 89.1 mphCH89 mphSlider: 5% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 85.9 mphSL86 mph4-Seam Fastball: 2% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 95.0 mphFF95 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 46.4% 541 103 qualified
CB 29.0% 338 103 qualified
CH 19.4% 226 104 qualified
SL 4.1% 48 89 limited sample
FB 1.1% 13 90 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height5' 11"
Weight230 lb
Debut2018-08-21
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.29
K% Δ-0.034

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.348
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.317

Valdez’s wOBA-against sits at 0.348, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.317 — a gap of 0.031, 1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 118 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching182026-07-09Sinker played up through CU/CH tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.8% K | 3.81 ERAProjection