Mithrandir Metrics
Player Miami Marlins Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Miami Marlins

Tyler Phillips

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 5", 225 lb · Age 28

Cards
19
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Miami Marlins Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024416.8787036.2281.42
2025212.78541477.2521.15
2026563.3437202126.21011.33
3 Seasons1183.7099286241.01811.28
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
42
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
46
Arsenal5 metrics
45
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason4.27
ERA current pace3.45
ERA rolling p503.70
Observed weight70%
ERA
2.44 3.04 3.70 4.36 4.96
FIP
3.39 4.01 4.70 5.40 6.02
K%
16.5% 17.6% 18.7% 19.9% 20.9%
BB%
7.9% 8.5% 9.3% 10.0% 10.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.34
49
ERA3.45
71
BB%10.4%
32 -45 vs proj
K%19.0%
29
xwOBA allowed0.332
29 -19 vs proj
Barrel allowed7.9%
43
Fastball velo95.6
70
Hard-hit allowed42.3%
22
Whiff%25.2%
69
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Curveball Stuff+100
26
Mithrandir Stuff+102
45
Sinker Stuff+99
30
Slider Stuff+106
84
Fastball Stuff+101
38
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Phillips, Tyler · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.332 2026-09-12: 0.3292026-09-13: 0.3322026-09-14: 0.3322026-09-18: 0.3322026-09-19: 0.3302026-09-20: 0.3302026-09-21: 0.3302026-09-22: 0.3302026-09-23: 0.3302026-09-24: 0.3302026-09-25: 0.3302026-09-26: 0.332 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 26%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Phillips, Tyler · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Phillips, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 25.8%Sweeper: 23.7%Split-Finger: 23.0%Curveball: 17.6%4-Seam Fastball: 8.4%Slider: 1.5% SI26% · 96 mphprimary pitch SI 26%ST 24%FS 23%CU 18%FF 8%SL 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Phillips, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Sinker: 26% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 95.5 mphSI96 mphSweeper: 24% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 84.2 mphST84 mphSplit-Finger: 23% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 86.9 mphFS87 mphCurveball: 18% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 51″ drop, 83.5 mphCU83 mph4-Seam Fastball: 8% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 96.0 mphFF96 mphSlider: 2% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 86.8 mphSL87 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 34.3% 319 99 qualified
SL 31.5% 293 106 qualified
CB 24.1% 224 100 qualified
FB 10.2% 95 101 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height6' 5"
Weight225 lb
Debut2024-07-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.10
K% Δ-0.004

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.325
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.332

Phillips’s wOBA-against sits at 0.325, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.332 — a gap of 0.006, -0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 127 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching192026-09-24Curveball played up through CU/FF tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202619.4% K | 4.55 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 vs ATL0 ER / 2 K3.0 IP
2026-04-17 vs MIL0 ER / 3 K1.1 IP
2026-04-12 @ DET1 ER / 2 K2.0 IP
2026-04-09 vs CIN0 ER / 4 K3.0 IP
2026-04-06 vs CIN0 ER / 1 K1.2 IP