Mithrandir Metrics
Player Athletics Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Athletics

Hogan Harris

P · Bats/Throws R/L · 6' 3", 230 lb · Age 29

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Athletics Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024442.86219072.1611.35
2025213.20480464.2651.35
2026302.67360633.2391.49
4 Seasons12114.081191510233.22211.41
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
50
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
61
Arsenal5 metrics
48
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-14
ERA preseason3.92
ERA current pace2.67
ERA rolling p503.42
Observed weight40%
ERA
2.26 2.81 3.42 4.04 4.59
FIP
3.64 3.95 4.30 4.65 4.96
K%
19.8% 21.5% 23.4% 25.4% 27.1%
BB%
9.5% 10.7% 12.0% 13.3% 14.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.49
22
ERA2.67
81
BB%15.3%
4 -29 vs proj
K%24.8%
66 +18 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.283
79 +42 vs proj
Barrel allowed4.3%
88 +41 vs proj
Fastball velo95.1
64
Hard-hit allowed27.2%
97
Whiff%23.2%
52 +20 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-14
Fastball Stuff+106
76
Mithrandir Stuff+103
57
Changeup Stuff+103
57
Curveball Stuff+102
41
Slider Stuff+93
8
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Harris, Hogan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.283 2026-06-03: 0.2982026-06-04: 0.2962026-06-05: 0.2902026-06-06: 0.2902026-06-07: 0.2902026-06-08: 0.2882026-06-09: 0.2882026-06-10: 0.2882026-06-11: 0.2882026-06-12: 0.2852026-06-13: 0.2852026-06-14: 0.283 2026-06-03 2026-06-14 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 58%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Harris, Hogan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 41%41%Hard hit allowed: 27%27% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Harris, Hogan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 57.8%Curveball: 24.2%Slider: 11.3%Changeup: 5.1%Cutter: 1.7% FF58% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 58%CU 24%SL 11%CH 5%FC 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Harris, Hogan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 18″36″54″72″ 4-Seam Fastball: 58% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 95.1 mphFF95 mphCurveball: 24% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 68″ drop, 74.2 mphCU74 mphSlider: 11% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 85.7 mphSL86 mphChangeup: 5% usage, 16″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 84.2 mphCH84 mphCutter: 2% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 92.2 mphFC92 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 57.2% 287 106 qualified
CB 23.5% 118 102 limited sample
SL 12.4% 62 93 limited sample
CH 5.2% 26 103 limited sample
FC 1.8% 9 89 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 3"
Weight230 lb
Debut2023-04-14
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.36
K% Δ+0.026

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.1σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.321
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.283

Harris’s wOBA-against sits at 0.321, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.283 — a gap of 0.038, 1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 35 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching12023-08-024-Seam Fastball played up through CH/CU tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.3% K | 4.03 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 @ LAA0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-20 @ SEA0 ER / 2 K1.2 IP
2026-04-15 vs TEX0 ER / 1 K0.2 IP
2026-04-14 vs TEX0 ER / 0 K0.2 IP
2026-04-12 @ NYM0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP