Mithrandir Metrics
Player Durham Bulls Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Durham Bulls

Nick Madrigal

3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 7", 175 lb · Age 29

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Durham Bulls Position 3B Roster Current MLB team Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20232943471210.263.311.352.663
20249451901.221.280.256.536
20266381501.278.365.315.680
6 Seasons1003104253418.274.326.343.669
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
18
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
33
Defense2 metrics
44
Speed1 metrics
35
Plate skills10 metrics
47
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.304
xwOBA current pace0.293
xwOBA rolling p500.301
Observed weight22%
xwOBA
0.253 0.276 0.301 0.327 0.349
wOBA
0.253 0.289 0.329 0.368 0.404
ISO
0.015 0.052 0.093 0.134 0.171
K%
7.0% 9.5% 12.2% 14.9% 17.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.0%
1
Exit velocity88.1
51
Hard-hit%26.9%
10
xBA0.252
4
xSLG0.308
2
xwOBA0.293
38
BB%11.1%
82 +66 vs proj
Bat speed64.9
6
K%4.8%
100
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength81.2 · 2B
7
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 2B
80
Range Runs1.3 · 2B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.9 · 2B
35
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.1% · rebadged research
68
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.9% · rebadged research
10
Correct Decisions68.5% · rebadged research
75
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.295 · borderline
36
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
39
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
63
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated
37
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
52
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
39
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Madrigal, Nick · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.293 2026-09-12: 0.2842026-09-13: 0.2872026-09-14: 0.2902026-09-18: 0.2932026-09-19: 0.2932026-09-20: 0.2932026-09-21: 0.2932026-09-22: 0.2932026-09-23: 0.2932026-09-24: 0.2932026-09-25: 0.2932026-09-26: 0.293 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

20 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Madrigal, Nick · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 20% of plotted batted ballsPull 20%Center field third: 75% of plotted batted ballsCenter 75%Right field third: 5% of plotted batted ballsOppo 5% LF 347 CF 396 RF 350 2026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 37.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 44.02026-06-01 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 94.9 / LA 21.02026-06-01 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA -2.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.3 / LA -18.02026-06-05 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 20.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -13.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 39.02026-06-07 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -19.02026-06-18 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 84.5 / LA -14.02026-06-18 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 34.02026-06-18 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 8.02026-09-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.0 / LA -13.02026-09-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 56.7 / LA -7.02026-09-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 67.9 / LA -15.02026-09-12 · sac fly · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 28.02026-09-13 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.8 / LA -10.02026-09-13 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 89.3 / LA 9.02026-09-13 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 2.02026-09-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 77.1 / LA -7.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Madrigal, Nick · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 52%52%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 7%7%Zone contact: 96%96%Contact: 93%93%Hard hit: 27%27% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height5' 7"
Weight175 lb
Debut2020-07-31
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.014
wOBA Δ+0.050
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Fielding32026-09-131 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.279 xwOBA | 4 HRProjection