Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Tony Santillan

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-16
24
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
21
Arsenal3 metrics
18
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-16
ERA preseason3.64
ERA current pace5.88
ERA rolling p504.41
Observed weight34%
ERA
2.68 3.50 4.41 5.33 6.15
FIP
3.62 4.14 4.71 5.28 5.79
K%
19.5% 21.9% 24.5% 27.1% 29.5%
BB%
6.8% 8.3% 10.0% 11.7% 13.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.50
20
ERA5.88
12
BB%11.1%
25
K%23.0%
53
xwOBA allowed0.366
10 -22 vs proj
Barrel allowed12.2%
7 -26 vs proj
Fastball velo94.5
52
Hard-hit allowed48.8%
5
Whiff%16.9%
8 -60 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-16
Fastball Stuff+100
34
Mithrandir Stuff+96
16
Slider Stuff+91
4
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Santillan, Tony · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.366 2026-06-05: 0.3872026-06-06: 0.3872026-06-07: 0.3872026-06-08: 0.3762026-06-09: 0.3762026-06-10: 0.3762026-06-11: 0.3762026-06-12: 0.3722026-06-13: 0.3722026-06-14: 0.3722026-06-15: 0.3662026-06-16: 0.366 2026-06-05 2026-06-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 64%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Santillan, Tony · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 17%17%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 49%49% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Santillan, Tony · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 64.1%Slurve: 33.8%Slider: 2.1% FF64% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 64%SV 34%SL 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Santillan, Tony · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 64% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 94.5 mphFF95 mphSlurve: 34% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 44″ drop, 84.4 mphSV84 mphSlider: 2% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 85.7 mphSL86 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 64.1% 239 100 qualified
SL 35.9% 134 91 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 3"
Weight285 lb
Debut2021-06-13
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+1.90
K% Δ-0.011
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202624.1% K | 3.98 ERAProjection
2026-04-17 @ MIN0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 vs SF0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-11 vs LAA0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-06 @ MIA0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-04 @ TEX0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP