Mithrandir Metrics
Player Tampa Bay Rays Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays

Drew Rasmussen

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 240 lb · Age 30

Cards
19
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Tampa Bay Rays Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024022.83164128.2351.08
20251052.7631310150.01271.02
2026753.261818099.1980.95
7 Seasons37222.96148992560.05261.04
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
79
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
71
Arsenal7 metrics
74
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
ERA preseason3.90
ERA current pace3.26
ERA rolling p503.49
Observed weight64%
ERA
2.19 2.81 3.49 4.18 4.79
FIP
3.13 3.39 3.68 3.97 4.23
K%
20.7% 21.9% 23.3% 24.6% 25.9%
BB%
4.0% 4.6% 5.2% 5.8% 6.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.04
87
ERA3.26
71
BB%4.5%
98
K%24.0%
61
xwOBA allowed0.282
81 +37 vs proj
Barrel allowed7.5%
55
Fastball velo95.7
71
Hard-hit allowed34.6%
80
Whiff%21.7%
39
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-17
Cutter Stuff+105
78
Fastball Stuff+112
98
Mithrandir Stuff+109
95
Sinker Stuff+108
91
Changeup Stuff+100
38
Curveball Stuff+102
55
Slider Stuff+104
63
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Rasmussen, Drew · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.282 2026-07-06: 0.2792026-07-07: 0.2792026-07-08: 0.2782026-07-09: 0.2782026-07-10: 0.2782026-07-11: 0.2822026-07-12: 0.2822026-07-13: 0.2822026-07-14: 0.2822026-07-15: 0.2822026-07-16: 0.2822026-07-17: 0.282 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 31%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Rasmussen, Drew · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 53%53%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rasmussen, Drew · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 31.3%4-Seam Fastball: 27.2%Sinker: 22.1%Changeup: 11.7%Curveball: 4.6%Sweeper: 3.1% FC31% · 90 mphprimary pitch FC 31%FF 27%SI 22%CH 12%CU 5%ST 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rasmussen, Drew · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Cutter: 31% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 90.1 mphFC90 mph4-Seam Fastball: 27% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 95.9 mphFF96 mphSinker: 22% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 95.4 mphSI95 mphChangeup: 12% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 90.1 mphCH90 mphCurveball: 5% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 55″ drop, 80.4 mphCU80 mphSweeper: 3% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 84.5 mphST85 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 32.7% 323 105 qualified
FB 26.5% 262 112 qualified
SI 21.3% 210 108 qualified
CH 12.4% 122 100 limited sample
CB 4.4% 43 102 limited sample
SL 2.7% 27 104 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 1"
Weight240 lb
Debut2020-08-19
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.54
K% Δ+0.021

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.3σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.316
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.282

Rasmussen’s wOBA-against sits at 0.316, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.282 — a gap of 0.034, 1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 103 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching192026-07-09Four-Seam Fastball played up through FC/SI tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.9% K | 3.80 ERAProjection
2026-04-12 vs NYY0 ER / 7 K6.0 IP
2026-04-01 @ MIL1 ER / 8 K5.0 IP
2026-03-26 @ STL1 ER / 2 K5.0 IP