Mithrandir Metrics
Player Texas Rangers Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Texas Rangers

Jacob Latz

P · Bats/Throws R/L · 6' 2", 185 lb · Age 30

Cards
6
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Texas Rangers Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024233.71460043.2401.51
2025202.84338185.2761.24
2026211.622611133.1350.60
5 Seasons652.801091012173.21601.16
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
87
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
69
Arsenal5 metrics
49
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-14
ERA preseason3.55
ERA current pace1.69
ERA rolling p502.87
Observed weight37%
ERA
1.67 2.24 2.87 3.50 4.07
FIP
2.77 3.26 3.80 4.34 4.83
K%
20.6% 22.4% 24.4% 26.5% 28.3%
BB%
6.8% 7.8% 9.0% 10.2% 11.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP0.91
94
ERA1.69
96
BB%7.9%
63 +32 vs proj
K%28.1%
86 +43 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.243
97 +37 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.0%
33 -22 vs proj
Fastball velo94.2
48
Hard-hit allowed43.8%
23
Whiff%27.7%
81
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-14
Fastball Stuff+104
64
Changeup Stuff+99
27
Curveball Stuff+97
3
Mithrandir Stuff+103
62
Slider Stuff+108
90
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Latz, Jacob · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.243 2026-06-03: 0.2492026-06-04: 0.2492026-06-05: 0.2492026-06-06: 0.2422026-06-07: 0.2422026-06-08: 0.2422026-06-09: 0.2422026-06-10: 0.2432026-06-11: 0.2432026-06-12: 0.2482026-06-13: 0.2432026-06-14: 0.243 2026-06-03 2026-06-14 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 53%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Latz, Jacob · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 28%28%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 44%44% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Latz, Jacob · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 53.3%Slider: 23.0%Changeup: 15.8%Curveball: 8.0% FF53% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 53%SL 23%CH 16%CU 8% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Latz, Jacob · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 53% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 94.2 mphFF94 mphSlider: 23% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 85.3 mphSL85 mphChangeup: 16% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 85.0 mphCH85 mphCurveball: 8% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 55″ drop, 79.9 mphCU80 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 54.7% 248 104 qualified
SL 23.2% 105 108 limited sample
CH 14.6% 66 99 limited sample
CB 7.5% 34 97 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 2"
Weight185 lb
Debut2021-08-25
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-2.29
K% Δ+0.065

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.7σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.304
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.243

Latz’s wOBA-against sits at 0.304, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.243 — a gap of 0.061, 1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 35 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching62026-03-284-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.6% K | 3.98 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 @ COL0 ER / 4 K2.0 IP
2026-04-17 @ SEA0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-15 @ ATH0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-12 @ LAD1 ER / 0 K0.2 IP
2026-04-07 vs SEA0 ER / 2 K2.0 IP