Mithrandir Metrics
Player Toronto Blue Jays Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays

Dylan Cease

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
15
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Toronto Blue Jays Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status IL-15
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
ERA preseason4.10
ERA current pace3.05
ERA rolling p503.53
Observed weight54%
ERA
2.30 2.88 3.53 4.18 4.77
FIP
2.00 2.46 2.97 3.48 3.94
K%
28.4% 30.1% 31.9% 33.7% 35.3%
BB%
7.8% 8.6% 9.4% 10.3% 11.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%10.0%
33
Barrel allowed5.4%
79 +39 vs proj
Fastball velo97.5
92
Hard-hit allowed37.2%
63
K%34.9%
98
Whiff%33.6%
96
xwOBA allowed0.280
80 +22 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-02
Mithrandir Stuff+105
77
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Cease, Dylan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-19: 0.2722026-05-21: 0.2762026-05-23: 0.2762026-05-24: 0.2762026-05-25: 0.2752026-05-26: 0.2752026-05-28: 0.2752026-05-29: 0.2802026-05-30: 0.2802026-05-31: 0.2802026-06-01: 0.2802026-06-02: 0.280 2026-05-19 2026-06-02 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 34%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Cease, Dylan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 43%43%Whiff: 34%34%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cease, Dylan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 34.5%Slider: 29.4%Changeup: 11.3%Sinker: 10.1%Knuckle Curve: 9.0%Sweeper: 5.7% MIX FF 34%SL 29%CH 11%SI 10%KC 9%ST 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cease, Dylan · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.1, IVB 0.8FFSL: HB -0.0, IVB 2.6SLCH: HB -0.7, IVB 1.9CHSI: HB 0.2, IVB 1.3SIKC: HB 0.1, IVB 4.5KCST: HB -0.6, IVB 4.0ST horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 35.2% 378 110 qualified
SL 34.8% 374 105 qualified
CH 11.3% 121 97 limited sample
SI 9.7% 104 95 limited sample
CB 9.0% 97 103 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 2"
Weight200 lb
Debut2019-07-03
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.71
K% Δ+0.068

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching152026-05-244-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202628.0% K | 3.76 ERAProjection
2026-04-20 @ LAA2 ER / 12 K5.0 IP
2026-04-15 @ MIL0 ER / 6 K6.0 IP
2026-04-08 vs LAD1 ER / 8 K5.0 IP
2026-04-03 @ CWS2 ER / 6 K4.1 IP